Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraChamazi StadiumData current as of October 29, 2026

Azam vs Mbeya City: match statistics

Azam crest
Azam
4 : 0half-time 1:0
Mbeya City crest
Mbeya City

Azam vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Azam played against Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: Chamazi Stadium. Final score: 4:0.

Recent form

Azam has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Mbeya City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Azam scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 0.88. Mbeya City scores 1.00 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Azam's games and 38% of Mbeya City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Azam has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.32 per game. Azam takes 9.3 shots per game, while Mbeya City takes 7.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Azam leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Mbeya City leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Azam's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Mbeya City, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Azam sit 3rd and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Mbeya City have managed just 1 win and suffered 3 defeats over the same period. The hosts have won 75% of their home matches, whereas the visitors have lost 50% of their away games, clearly pointing in Azam’s favor. At home, Azam average 1.5 goals and 6.25 shots on target per match, compared with Mbeya City’s away averages of 0.75 goals and 3.25 shots on target. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of the chances they create: Azam average 2.02 xG at home, while Mbeya City concede chances worth 1.83 xG on the road. Mbeya City have failed to score in 50% of their away matches and have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games, making an Azam win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Mbeya City: the visitors average 0.75 goals, have failed to score in 50% of their matches, and BTTS has landed in only 25% of their games. Azam have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, further limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.4 goals over the same period, while Mbeya City conceded 1.4. A counterpoint is the visitors’ xG of 1.46, higher than Azam’s 1.18, but their actual goals-scoring average remains lower. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 75% of Azam’s matches and 100% of Mbeya City’s. Over their last five games, Azam averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, for a total of 2.0 goals per match; none of those games went over 2.5 goals. Mbeya City averaged 0.8 goals scored over the same period, while conceding 1.4, so two or three goals cannot be ruled out. However, the hosts have the more favorable chance-quality figures: their recent xG stands at 1.70 compared with 1.32 for the visitors, while Mbeya’s defense allows chances worth 1.68 xG per match. A 2.30-goal projection points to value on Under 3.5, even though Azam may create more chances.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is Azam leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mbeya City did not lead at the break in any of their games over the same period. Azam won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.6, while the visitors won just once, scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.4. The hosts’ average of 0.8 goals scored before half-time in their last five matches, compared with Mbeya City’s average of 0.8 goals conceded over that period, also points to an early home lead. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, as the visitors recorded one in 3 of their last 5 matches. However, their average xG conceded of 1.83, compared with Azam’s 1.02, strengthens the forecast of a home win at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
3 : 0
Second half

Game stats

67Possession (%)33
AzamMbeya City
8Shots0
AzamMbeya City
4Shots on target0
AzamMbeya City
1.43xG0.2
AzamMbeya City
7Corners1
AzamMbeya City
89Dangerous attacks26
AzamMbeya City
1Fouls1
AzamMbeya City
0Cards0
AzamMbeya City

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.63Goals scored / game1
AzamMbeya City
0.88Goals allowed / game1.13
AzamMbeya City
48%Average possession49%
AzamMbeya City
5.13Shots on target / game2.5
AzamMbeya City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.25Shots per game7.38
AzamMbeya City
5.13Shots on target2.5
AzamMbeya City
17.6%Shot conversion13.6%
AzamMbeya City
48%Possession49%
AzamMbeya City
1.86xG for1.32
AzamMbeya City
1.39xG against1.43
AzamMbeya City

Shooting quality

Azam: Efficient finishingMbeya City: Efficient finishing
AzamMbeya City
Accuracy (shots on target)55%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Azam is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Azam · 0.8 pts / game - Mbeya City

Azam
DWWLW
Season result split
63% W25% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-1
2.13 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Mbeya City
WDLLL
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
WDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Azam is 63% better for: goals scored per game.

1.63 goals / game - Azam · 1 goals / game - Mbeya City

Azam is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.88 goals / game - Azam · 1.13 goals / game - Mbeya City

Azam scoring profile: very strong

Azam scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

Mbeya City scoring profile: strong

Mbeya City scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Azam keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

13Goals scored (season)8
AzamMbeya City
7Goals conceded (season)9
AzamMbeya City
2.5Average goals per game2.13
AzamMbeya City
8Goals scored (last 5)4
AzamMbeya City
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
AzamMbeya City

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal63%
AzamMbeya City
75%2 goals38%
AzamMbeya City
0%3 goals0%
AzamMbeya City
0%4 goals0%
AzamMbeya City

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
AzamMbeya City
25%2 goals38%
AzamMbeya City
0%3 goals13%
AzamMbeya City
0%4 goals0%
AzamMbeya City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
AzamMbeya City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AzamMbeya City
50%Scored in both halves13%
AzamMbeya City

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
AzamMbeya City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AzamMbeya City
20%BTTS - last 540%
AzamMbeya City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
AzamMbeya City
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AzamMbeya City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AzamMbeya City

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
AzamMbeya City
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AzamMbeya City
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AzamMbeya City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Azam is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.25 pts / game - Azam · 0.88 pts / game - Mbeya City

Azam - half-time state
63% leading38% draw0% trailing
Mbeya City - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.25Points per game (1st half)0.88
AzamMbeya City
1Goals scored (1st half)0.25
AzamMbeya City
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
AzamMbeya City
1.13Average goals (1st half)0.88
AzamMbeya City
88%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AzamMbeya City
25%No goal before half-time75%
AzamMbeya City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.63
AzamMbeya City
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
AzamMbeya City
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AzamMbeya City
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.25
AzamMbeya City
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
AzamMbeya City
38%No goal after half-time50%
AzamMbeya City

Azam - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
18
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mbeya City - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Azam - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.40
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Mbeya City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Azam
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
5
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mbeya City
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Azam

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Mbeya City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

AzamLigaMbeya City
Average goals per game• 2.502.46▼ 2.13
Both teams scored• 50%51%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%43%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 38%26%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time• 75%74%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%70%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Away team

Starting lineup

30Brighton Munthali

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AzamGoalFaisal Salum

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Azam's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Mbeya City. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Mbeya City
0 : 0
Azam
Azam
2 : 0
Mbeya City

FAQ

What was the result of Azam vs Mbeya City?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Azam 4:0 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Azam and Mbeya City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Azam won 1, Mbeya City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Azam vs Mbeya City?

Azam score 1.63 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.00. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Azam's matches and 38% of Mbeya City's.

What form are Azam and Mbeya City in?

Over the last 5 games Azam have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mbeya City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Azam vs Mbeya City?

The statistical background for Azam vs Mbeya City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.