Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Sheger Ketema 41%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Sheger Ketema 22%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.11. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.3.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X): the primary argument is Bahardar’s high home draw rate — 54% of their home matches end in a draw — and a high clean sheet rate of 62%, which makes it difficult for opponents to score. The home defense looks solid: Bahardar concedes only 0.69 goals per home match on average and have allowed a total of 2 goals in their last 5 matches, while Sheger Ketema conceded 4 goals in their last 5 and average 1.08 goals conceded away. The home attack is limited — home goals average 0.85 with 54% of matches without scoring — whereas Sheger have 24 goals this season versus 20 for the hosts and better shot conversion: 12% conversion vs 9%. The xG indicator shows parity (Bahardar xG For 1.35 vs Sheger xG For 1.24), and chance metrics suggest few clear opportunities: 3.31 shots on target per match for the hosts vs 2.5 for the visitors. Considering form (Bahardar 1.8 pts per match in the last 5, Sheger 1.6) and the hosts’ defensive edge, I assign 45% to the draw, 35% to a Bahardar win and 20% to a Sheger Ketema win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Bahardar is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 49% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 0 - 1 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:2 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 41% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Bahardar and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bahardar vs Sheger Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.