Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Bahir Dar Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Welayta Dicha 45%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Welayta Dicha 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.26. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.6.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the draw (X): both teams display almost identical goal metrics — Bahardar averages 0.76 goals per home match, while Welayta Dicha averages 0.76 goals away. Chance quality is very similar: Bahardar has average xG 1.30 at home with xG against 1.26, and Welayta has xG 1.33 away with xG against 0.96; average shots are 8.56 vs 8.53, and shots on target 3.19 vs 3.12. Form is also balanced — both average 1.8 points over the last 5 matches with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws, and Bahardar records as many as 59% draws at home with only 18% losses. The hosts’ main advantage is a stronger home defense (0.76 goals conceded per game and 53% clean sheets), while Welayta has the edge in season goals scored (32 vs 26) and a marginally higher attacking xG (1.33 vs 1.30). Considering Bahardar’s high draw rate, the higher share of clean sheets for the hosts and the relatively low finishing efficiency of both sides (Bahardar fail to score in 53% of home games, Welayta fail to score in 41% of away games), a point split is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welayta Dicha is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Bahardar is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welayta Dicha is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 1 - 0 Welayta Dicha. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:2 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 0.97. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 45% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Bahardar and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha?
The statistical background for Bahardar vs Welayta Dicha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.