Bahia vs Mirassol: match statistics
Bahia vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bahia played against Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Bahia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mirassol has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Bahia scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.24. Mirassol scores 1.17 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Bahia's games and 69% of Mirassol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 52%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.49 per game. Bahia takes 14.3 shots per game, while Mirassol takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Bahia leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Mirassol leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Mirassol, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia sit 5th and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while 15th-placed Mirassol have recorded 2 wins over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.57 goals and 5.71 shots on target per match; away, the visitors average 0.92 goals and 3.31 shots on target. Bahia’s advantage in chance quality is reflected in their home xG of 1.73, compared with Mirassol’s away xG of 1.24, while the visitors have failed to score in 38% of their away matches. Mirassol concede an average of 1.62 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, which favors the hosts, although 43% of Bahia’s home matches have ended in a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 73% of Bahia’s matches and 62% of Mirassol’s, both above the league average of 59%. Bahia have a solid foundation for scoring: they average 1.75 xG at home, while Mirassol allow opponents 1.68 xG and have not kept a clean sheet. The visitors’ chances are less certain, as they average 0.92 goals away from home and failed to score in 38% of their matches. However, Bahia concede an average of 1.4 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in only 13% of matches. In the last five games, both teams scored in 80% of Bahia’s matches and 60% of Mirassol’s. So, despite the risk of the visitors failing to score, it is more likely that both sides will find the net (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this total was reached in 80% of Bahia’s matches and 69% of Mirassol’s. Bahia generate an average of 1.75 xG, while Mirassol allow opponents 1.68 xG, giving the hosts a solid platform to score. The visitors average 0.92 goals, but Bahia concede 1.40 goals per match, so Mirassol could also contribute to the scoreline. Over their last five matches, Bahia averaged 2.2 goals and Mirassol 1.4, strengthening the case for at least two goals. The 2.5 line is less certain, having been exceeded in 60% of Bahia’s matches but only 46% of Mirassol’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bahia led at the break in 40% of matches, while Mirassol were trailing at half-time in 38%, supporting the case for an early home advantage. Across their last five matches, Bahia averaged 1.4 goals before half-time, while Mirassol failed to score in the first half in 4 of 5 appearances. The chances of Bahia holding their lead are also supported by the average xG figures: 1.75 for Bahia compared with 1.24 for Mirassol, as well as 5.67 shots on target per match for the hosts against 3.31 for the visitors. Bahia have won 4 of their last 5 matches, and Mirassol have lost 62% of their matches this season, making a Bahia lead at the break and at full-time the strongest scenario. However, the risk of a half-time draw remains significant, as Bahia went into the break level in 47% of matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bahia is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Bahia · 1.6 pts / game - Mirassol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Bahia · 1.17 goals / game - Mirassol
Bahia is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Bahia · 1.48 goals / game - Mirassol
Bahia scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 29 games).
Mirassol scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Mirassol
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 28%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bahia
Mirassol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.72 | 2.66 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Bahia's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mirassol. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Mirassol?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:0 Mirassol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Mirassol?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Mirassol won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Mirassol?
Bahia score 1.48 goals per game on average and Mirassol 1.17. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Bahia's matches and 69% of Mirassol's.
What form are Bahia and Mirassol in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mirassol 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Mirassol?
The statistical background for Bahia vs Mirassol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.