Brazil - Serie AArena Fonte NovaData current as of 06 August 2026

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 9 August 2026. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova.

Current form

Bahia: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.38 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.15 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 67%, Vasco da Gama 70%. Over 2.5: Bahia 48%, Vasco da Gama 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.57. Bahia: 14.2 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.7.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 31-45+ (8 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.83)
(3.67)
(4.48)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BahiaVasco da Gama
1.38Goals scored / match1.15
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.19Goals conceded / match1.55
BahiaVasco da Gama
54%Average possession55%
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.86Shots on target / match5.3
BahiaVasco da Gama

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.19Shots per match17.7
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.86Shots on target5.3
BahiaVasco da Gama
9.7%Shot conversion6.5%
BahiaVasco da Gama
54%Possession55%
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.57xG for1.86
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.54xG against1.33
BahiaVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

Bahia: AttackingVasco da Gama: Dominant
BahiaVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)34%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 800% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Bahia · 0.2 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W38% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-5
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-5-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Vasco da Gama
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W30% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-9
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Bahia · 1.15 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Bahia · 1.55 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: very strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).

29Goals scored (season)23
BahiaVasco da Gama
25Goals conceded (season)31
BahiaVasco da Gama
2.57Average goals in match2.7
BahiaVasco da Gama
6Goals scored (last 5)2
BahiaVasco da Gama
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal75%
BahiaVasco da Gama
43%2 goals30%
BahiaVasco da Gama
5%3 goals10%
BahiaVasco da Gama
0%4 goals0%
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal95%
BahiaVasco da Gama
33%2 goals40%
BahiaVasco da Gama
10%3 goals15%
BahiaVasco da Gama
5%4 goals5%
BahiaVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
BahiaVasco da Gama
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahiaVasco da Gama
10%Scored in both halves0%
BahiaVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
BahiaVasco da Gama
60%BTTS - last 540%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
BahiaVasco da Gama
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
BahiaVasco da Gama
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
BahiaVasco da Gama

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
BahiaVasco da Gama
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 0.75 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia - half-time state
33% leading29% draw38% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
15% leading30% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)0.75
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.3
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.05
BahiaVasco da Gama
38%Clean sheet before half-time30%
BahiaVasco da Gama
48%No goal before half-time75%
BahiaVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per match (2nd half)1.25
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.52Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.65
BahiaVasco da Gama
67%Clean sheet after half-time40%
BahiaVasco da Gama
52%No goal after half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Bahia - second-half results

33% W48% R19% P
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

30% W35% R35% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
4
16-30
8
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals in match 2.572.59 2.70
Both teams scored 67%58% 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%49% 55%
Clean sheets 29%24% 5%
Goal before half-time 90%76% 80%
Goal after half-time 62%77% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Bahia 2 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Bahia and Vasco da Gama play?

Bahia face Vasco da Gama on 9 August 2026 in Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

Bahia score 1.38 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.15. The Serie A average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bahia's matches and 70% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are Bahia and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.