Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ballymena United played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Ballymena United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Ballymena United scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.58. Carrick Rangers scores 1.18 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Ballymena United's games and 59% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 53%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.25 per game. Ballymena United takes 9.6 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Ballymena United leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.59 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ballymena United's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

59Possession (%)41
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
11Shots10
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
4Shots on target2
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.43xG1.16
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
4Corners3
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
62Dangerous attacks52
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
8Fouls9
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1Cards1
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.21Goals scored / game1.18
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.58Goals allowed / game1.59
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
44%Average possession44%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
3.58Shots on target / game3.88
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.58Shots per game9.88
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
3.58Shots on target3.88
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
12.6%Shot conversion11.9%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
44%Possession44%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.25xG for1.3
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.4xG against1.52
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Ballymena United: Counter-attackingCarrick Rangers: Balanced
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)37%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ballymena United is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Ballymena United · 0.2 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Ballymena United
WDLLL
Season result split
32% W11% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-11
1.05 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Carrick Rangers
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
29% W12% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-10
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ballymena United scoring profile: strong

Ballymena United scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)20
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
30Goals conceded (season)27
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
2.79Average goals per game2.76
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
10Goals conceded (last 5)13
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal82%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
37%2 goals18%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
11%3 goals12%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
5%4 goals6%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal76%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
63%2 goals59%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
16%3 goals24%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals0%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time29%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
32%Scored in both halves12%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ballymena United is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Ballymena United · 0.94 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Ballymena United - half-time state
26% leading32% draw42% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
18% leading41% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)0.94
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0.84Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.35
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
42%Clean sheet before half-time35%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
53%No goal before half-time53%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per game (2nd half)1
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.41
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
47%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers
47%No goal after half-time53%
Ballymena UnitedCarrick Rangers

Ballymena United - second-half results

26% W42% D32% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

18% W47% D35% L
16
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ballymena United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.80
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Carrick Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.62.0
Average goals per game1.03.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%80%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ballymena United
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
6
2
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
6
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ballymena United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Ballymena UnitedLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals per game 2.792.76 2.76
Both teams scored 47%48% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%53% 53%
Clean sheets 21%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 84%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 79%79% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Carrick RangersGoalAidan Steele
  2. Ballymena UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jack O'ReillyOff: Joel Thompson
  3. Ballymena UnitedGoalDaire O'Connor
  4. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Seanan ClucasOff: Kyle Cherry
  5. Carrick RangersYellow cardBilly Joe Burns
  6. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Jack ScottOff: Billy Joe Burns
  7. Ballymena UnitedSubstitutionOn: James HoodOff: Daire O'Connor
  8. Ballymena UnitedYellow cardDanny Lafferty

Head-to-head

Record from Ballymena United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Carrick Rangers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Carrick Rangers FC
1 : 2
Ballymena United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Ballymena United 1:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballymena United score 1.21 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.18. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ballymena United's matches and 59% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Ballymena United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

The statistical background for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.