Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Carrick Rangers displays distinctly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors have a better points average (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches) and a positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Ballymena's negative home record (-2). Carrick Rangers is characterized by higher scoring efficiency on the road (1.6 goals/match vs Ballymena's 1.27 at home) and a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%). Ballymena occupies only 10th place in the table with a mere 27% home win rate, whereas Carrick Rangers wins 40% of their away matches. The hosts' recent form (WLDLD) is unstable, while the visitors show greater consistency (WDWDL). Considering all the statistics, Carrick Rangers' advantage is evident, although the narrow difference in xG (1.3 vs 1.22) suggests the match could be evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ballymena United played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Ballymena United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ballymena United scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.52. Carrick Rangers scores 1.48 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Ballymena United's games and 65% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 58%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carrick Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.13 per game. Ballymena United takes 8.5 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ballymena United leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ballymena United's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 31-45+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers displays distinctly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors have a better points average (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches) and a positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Ballymena's negative home record (-2). Carrick Rangers is characterized by higher scoring efficiency on the road (1.6 goals/match vs Ballymena's 1.27 at home) and a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%). Ballymena occupies only 10th place in the table with a mere 27% home win rate, whereas Carrick Rangers wins 40% of their away matches. The hosts' recent form (WLDLD) is unstable, while the visitors show greater consistency (WDWDL). Considering all the statistics, Carrick Rangers' advantage is evident, although the narrow difference in xG (1.3 vs 1.22) suggests the match could be evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Carrick Rangers is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Ballymena United · 1.6 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Ballymena United · 1.48 goals / game - Carrick Rangers
Ballymena United scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 meczów), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ballymena United
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / game - Ballymena United · 1.45 pts / game - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ballymena United
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Ballymena United | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.65 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ballymena United's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrick Rangers. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Ballymena United 2:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 1, Carrick Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
Ballymena United score 1.13 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.48. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Ballymena United's matches and 65% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Ballymena United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
The statistical background for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.