Barau vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Barau demonstrates significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts post impressive offensive statistics at home – averaging 2.75 xG and 1.36 goals per match, which, coupled with just an 18% loss rate, makes them the clear favorite. Ikorodu City shows significant problems in away matches, winning only 9% of games and having a negative goal difference (-4), with very low efficiency – averaging just 0.73 goals per away match. Furthermore, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away matches, which, when facing Barau's solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per home game), significantly reduces their chances. Taking into account all these factors and the recent form of both teams, a home victory seems the most likely scenario.
Barau vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Barau played against Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Barau has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ikorodu City has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Barau scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ikorodu City scores 0.96 and allows 0.61. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Barau's games and 30% of Ikorodu City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 17%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Barau has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.36 per game. Barau takes 6.7 shots per game, while Ikorodu City takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Barau leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Ikorodu City leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Barau's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Ikorodu City, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barau demonstrates significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts post impressive offensive statistics at home – averaging 2.75 xG and 1.36 goals per match, which, coupled with just an 18% loss rate, makes them the clear favorite. Ikorodu City shows significant problems in away matches, winning only 9% of games and having a negative goal difference (-4), with very low efficiency – averaging just 0.73 goals per away match. Furthermore, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away matches, which, when facing Barau's solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per home game), significantly reduces their chances. Taking into account all these factors and the recent form of both teams, a home victory seems the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Barau | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ikorodu City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Barau · 1.8 pts / game - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Barau · 0.96 goals / game - Ikorodu City
Ikorodu City is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Barau · 0.61 goals / game - Ikorodu City
Barau scores in 39% of games (9 of 23 games), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 61% (14 of 23 games).
Ikorodu City scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 games), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barau
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Barau · 1.43 pts / game - Ikorodu City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barau - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Barau
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Barau | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.83 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 35% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Barau's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ikorodu City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Barau vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Barau 1:0 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Ikorodu City?
Barau score 0.83 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Barau's matches and 30% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Barau and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Barau have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ikorodu City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.