Barracas Central vs Sarmiento: match statistics
Barracas Central vs Sarmiento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barracas Central play Sarmiento in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 2 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Barracas Central: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sarmiento: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barracas Central scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Sarmiento scores 0.81 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barracas Central 56%, Sarmiento 38%. Over 2.5: Barracas Central 38%, Sarmiento 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Barracas Central has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.23. Barracas Central: 10.6 shots per match, Sarmiento: 9.9.
Match halves
Barracas Central: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.44. Sarmiento: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Barracas Central: 31-45+ (4 goals). Sarmiento: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Barracas Central averages 1.4 goals per home match, averages 11 shots with 4 on target and a 13% conversion, whereas Sarmiento away averages only 0.2 goals, 7 shots with 2.4 on target, a 3% conversion and 80% of away games without scoring. Defensively Barracas concedes 0.8 goals on their own ground and has xG for 1.34, while Sarmiento away has xG for 0.92 and xG against 2.22, indicating the visitors create fewer high-quality chances and are more exposed at the back. Form supports the home advantage: Barracas averages 2.2 points in the last five matches (form wdwwd) and a home run 'ldwww', whereas Sarmiento has lost all five away matches ('lllll') and averages 1.4 points in the last five. Considering the superiority in efficiency (13% vs 3%), the higher number of shots on target (4 vs 2.4) and the fact the visitors have not won any away matches and have 100% defeats on the road, I assign a 75% probability to a home win, 15% to a draw and 10% to an away upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barracas Central | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarmiento is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Barracas Central · 1.2 pts / match - Sarmiento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barracas Central is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Barracas Central · 0.81 goals / match - Sarmiento
Barracas Central is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Barracas Central · 1.25 goals / match - Sarmiento
Barracas Central scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Sarmiento scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Barracas Central keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Barracas Central
Over / Under — Sarmiento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barracas Central - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarmiento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barracas Central
Sarmiento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Barracas Central | Liga | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.08 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Barracas Central 0 - 1 - 1 Sarmiento. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barracas Central vs Sarmiento?
The Primera División match finished Barracas Central 1:2 Sarmiento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barracas Central and Sarmiento?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barracas Central won 0, Sarmiento won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barracas Central vs Sarmiento?
Barracas Central score 0.94 goals per game on average and Sarmiento 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Barracas Central's matches and 38% of Sarmiento's.
What form are Barracas Central and Sarmiento in?
Over the last 5 games Barracas Central have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sarmiento 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barracas Central vs Sarmiento?
The statistical background for Barracas Central vs Sarmiento — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


