England - EFL League TwoData current as of 23 July 2026

Barrow vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Barrow vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Barrow play Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 10 March 2026 at 20:45.

Current form

Barrow: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Bristol Rovers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Barrow scores 0.98 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Bristol Rovers scores 1.22 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Barrow 57%, Bristol Rovers 46%. Over 2.5: Barrow 63%, Bristol Rovers 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol Rovers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.22. Barrow: 10.6 shots per match, Bristol Rovers: 11.6.

Match halves

Barrow: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Bristol Rovers: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Barrow: 31-45+ (11 goals). Bristol Rovers: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.63)
(3.10)
(2.45)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BarrowBristol Rovers
0.98Goals scored / match1.22
BarrowBristol Rovers
1.7Goals conceded / match1.41
BarrowBristol Rovers
46%Average possession50%
BarrowBristol Rovers
3.17Shots on target / match3.3
BarrowBristol Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.63Shots per match11.59
BarrowBristol Rovers
3.17Shots on target3.3
BarrowBristol Rovers
9.2%Shot conversion10.5%
BarrowBristol Rovers
46%Possession50%
BarrowBristol Rovers
1.22xG for1.32
BarrowBristol Rovers
1.62xG against1.33
BarrowBristol Rovers

Shooting quality

Barrow: BalancedBristol Rovers: Balanced
BarrowBristol Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)30%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bristol Rovers is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Barrow · 2.6 pts / match - Bristol Rovers

Barrow
LWLLL
Season result split
20% W20% R61% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-28
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-14
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Bristol Rovers
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
41% W11% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-22
1.35 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-12
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol Rovers is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.98 goals / match - Barrow · 1.22 goals / match - Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Barrow · 1.41 goals / match - Bristol Rovers

Barrow scoring profile: strong

Barrow scores in 63% of matches (29 of 46 matches), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

Bristol Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Bristol Rovers scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

45Goals scored (season)56
BarrowBristol Rovers
78Goals conceded (season)65
BarrowBristol Rovers
2.67Average goals in match2.63
BarrowBristol Rovers
7Goals scored (last 5)13
BarrowBristol Rovers
13Goals conceded (last 5)5
BarrowBristol Rovers

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal67%
BarrowBristol Rovers
30%2 goals37%
BarrowBristol Rovers
4%3 goals15%
BarrowBristol Rovers
0%4 goals2%
BarrowBristol Rovers

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal76%
BarrowBristol Rovers
59%2 goals35%
BarrowBristol Rovers
22%3 goals22%
BarrowBristol Rovers
2%4 goals9%
BarrowBristol Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time11%
BarrowBristol Rovers
7%BTTS in both halves2%
BarrowBristol Rovers
17%Scored in both halves17%
BarrowBristol Rovers

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
BarrowBristol Rovers
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
BarrowBristol Rovers
80%BTTS - last 580%
BarrowBristol Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
BarrowBristol Rovers
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
BarrowBristol Rovers
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
BarrowBristol Rovers

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BarrowBristol Rovers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
BarrowBristol Rovers
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
BarrowBristol Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol Rovers is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.98 pts / match - Barrow · 1.2 pts / match - Bristol Rovers

Barrow - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing
Bristol Rovers - half-time state
28% leading35% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.98Points per match (1st half)1.2
BarrowBristol Rovers
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.5
BarrowBristol Rovers
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
BarrowBristol Rovers
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.07
BarrowBristol Rovers
48%Clean sheet before half-time52%
BarrowBristol Rovers
63%No goal before half-time63%
BarrowBristol Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)1.3
BarrowBristol Rovers
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
BarrowBristol Rovers
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
BarrowBristol Rovers
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.57
BarrowBristol Rovers
35%Clean sheet after half-time48%
BarrowBristol Rovers
57%No goal after half-time52%
BarrowBristol Rovers

Barrow - second-half results

17% W37% R46% P
45
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-22
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol Rovers - second-half results

37% W20% R43% P
55
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Barrow - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bristol Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Barrow
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
3
12
16-30
11
13
31-45
6
12
46-60
8
11
61-75
10
23
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.

Bristol Rovers
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
9
9
16-30
8
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
12
10
61-75
11
21
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Barrow

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Bristol Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

BarrowLigaBristol Rovers
Average goals in match 2.672.57 2.63
Both teams scored 57%52% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%48% 52%
Clean sheets 15%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 70%67% 74%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Barrow 0 - 0 - 1 Bristol Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Bristol Rovers FC
2 : 1
Barrow AFC

FAQ

When do Barrow and Bristol Rovers play?

Barrow face Bristol Rovers on 10 March 2026 in EFL League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Barrow vs Bristol Rovers?

Barrow score 0.98 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 1.22. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Barrow's matches and 46% of Bristol Rovers's.

What form are Barrow and Bristol Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Barrow have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barrow vs Bristol Rovers?

The statistical background for Barrow vs Bristol Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.