Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Barry Town United played against Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Barry Town United has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Barry Town United scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.07. Caernarfon Town scores 1.82 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Barry Town United's games and 68% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 61%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.40 per game. Barry Town United takes 10.9 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Barry Town United leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.21 after halftime.
When the teams score
Barry Town United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barry Town United are in excellent form in their last five matches, winning four games and averaging 2.4 points per match, while Caernarfon Town are performing significantly worse with a record of 1.2 points per match and three defeats in their last five outings. The hosts are extremely effective at home, conceding an average of just 0.64 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 57% of their home games, which gives them a huge advantage over the visitors, who concede an average of 1.21 goals away. Barry Town also have a better goal difference in home matches (+12) compared to Caernarfon's away record (+6), and their home form with a 43% win rate surpasses the visitors' 36% effectiveness on the road. Although Caernarfon are capable of scoring away from home, their weaker defensive disposition and current losing streak favor the hosts, who have every argument to claim all three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Barry Town United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Barry Town United · 0.8 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 34% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Barry Town United · 1.82 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Barry Town United · 1.46 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 meczów).
Caernarfon Town scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barry Town United
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barry Town United is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Barry Town United · 1.11 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Barry Town United
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.43 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Barry Town United's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Caernarfon Town. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 2:1 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 1, Caernarfon Town won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
Barry Town United score 1.36 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 1.82. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Barry Town United's matches and 68% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Caernarfon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.