Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Caernarfon Town has been performing significantly better in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), while Barry Town United is in a clear slump with four defeats in their last five outings (0.6 points per game). The hosts hold a home advantage, scoring an average of 2.09 goals with a 16% conversion rate and a higher xG (1.66 vs 1.23 for the visitors away). Barry Town United has poor away form with only a 25% win rate and 33% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against the solid offense of the hosts, could be crucial. The difference in goal difference (+5 for the hosts at home vs -4 for the visitors away) and the current form point to a Caernarfon Town victory. Nevertheless, the history of mutual draws and relatively close average xG suggests that a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Caernarfon Town played against Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Caernarfon Town has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Barry Town United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Caernarfon Town scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 1.38. Barry Town United scores 1.38 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Caernarfon Town's games and 46% of Barry Town United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 46%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.35 per game. Caernarfon Town takes 12.7 shots per game, while Barry Town United takes 10.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Barry Town United leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Caernarfon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Barry Town United, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town has been performing significantly better in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), while Barry Town United is in a clear slump with four defeats in their last five outings (0.6 points per game). The hosts hold a home advantage, scoring an average of 2.09 goals with a 16% conversion rate and a higher xG (1.66 vs 1.23 for the visitors away). Barry Town United has poor away form with only a 25% win rate and 33% of matches without scoring a goal, which, against the solid offense of the hosts, could be crucial. The difference in goal difference (+5 for the hosts at home vs -4 for the visitors away) and the current form point to a Caernarfon Town victory. Nevertheless, the history of mutual draws and relatively close average xG suggests that a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Caernarfon Town | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Caernarfon Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 0.6 pts / game - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 goals / game - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.13 goals / game - Barry Town United
Caernarfon Town scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Barry Town United scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barry Town United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.38 pts / game - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Caernarfon Town | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Caernarfon Town's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Barry Town United. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 0:2 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 1, Barry Town United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
Caernarfon Town score 1.88 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.38. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 46% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Barry Town United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United?
The statistical background for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.