Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Barry Town United played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Barry Town United has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Barry Town United scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.08. Connah's Quay scores 2.04 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Barry Town United's games and 64% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 72%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.38 per game. Barry Town United takes 10.8 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Barry Town United leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.16 after halftime.
When the teams score
Barry Town United's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay demonstrates significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Barry Town United (5th place). The visitors boast an impressive record of 14 wins against only 3 defeats this season, along with a higher away win rate (54%) than the hosts' home win rate (33%). Barry Town United has averaged only 1.2 points per match in their last 5 games and is in poor home form with a series of draws and losses. Connah's Quay shows greater attacking efficiency (15% shot conversion vs 13%) and a better average xG (1.55 vs 1.48), indicating higher quality of chances created. The high percentage of home draws for the hosts (42%) and away draws for the visitors (38%) makes a draw a realistic scenario; however, the qualitative advantage and current form of Connah's Quay point towards their victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Barry Town United | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Connah's Quay is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Barry Town United · 1.4 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Barry Town United · 2.04 goals / game - Connah's Quay
Barry Town United scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Connah's Quay scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 meczów), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barry Town United
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Barry Town United · 1.72 pts / game - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Barry Town United
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Barry Town United | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Barry Town United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Connah's Quay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Barry Town United 1:0 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barry Town United won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
Barry Town United score 1.40 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.04. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Barry Town United's matches and 64% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Barry Town United and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Barry Town United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay?
The statistical background for Barry Town United vs Connah's Quay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.