Basake Holy Stars vs Karela: match statistics
Basake Holy Stars vs Karela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Basake Holy Stars play Karela in Ghana Premier League (Ghana). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Basake Holy Stars: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Karela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Basake Holy Stars scores 0.91 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Karela scores 0.94 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Basake Holy Stars 24%, Karela 35%. Over 2.5: Basake Holy Stars 32%, Karela 26%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Basake Holy Stars has higher xG: 1.01 vs 0.97. Basake Holy Stars: 4.5 shots per match, Karela: 6.0.
Match halves
Basake Holy Stars: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32. Karela: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Basake Holy Stars: 31-45+ (8 goals). Karela: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ghana Premier League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Basake Holy Stars are favorites for this fixture: at home they have a 77% win rate, average 1.46 goals scored and only 0.46 conceded per game, and they remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Karela averages only 0.64 goals on the road and has a high share of goalless away games — 43%, while conceding 1.43 goals away and carrying a negative goal difference of -11. The hosts create more chances (4.7 shots on target and 9.7 attempts per game) and control the game (54% possession vs 42% for the visitors), with home xG of 1.3 compared to Karela’s 0.9 xG away. Additionally, Basake keep a clean sheet in 69% of home matches, whereas the visitors have 36% clean sheets on the road, and shot conversion is 14% for the hosts versus 11% for Karela — all factors in favor of a home win. I estimate the probability of a home win at around 65%, a draw at 20%, and an away win at 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Basake Holy Stars | Karela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karela is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Basake Holy Stars · 1.4 pts / match - Karela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karela is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Basake Holy Stars · 0.97 goals / match - Karela
Basake Holy Stars scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Karela keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
Karela scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Basake Holy Stars keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Basake Holy Stars
Over / Under — Karela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karela is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Basake Holy Stars · 1.32 pts / match - Karela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Basake Holy Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Basake Holy Stars
Karela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ghana Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Basake Holy Stars | Liga | Karela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.06 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 34% | • 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Basake Holy Stars 0 - 0 - 1 Karela. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
The Ghana Premier League match finished Basake Holy Stars 1:0 Karela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
Basake Holy Stars score 0.91 goals per game on average and Karela 0.94. The Ghana Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Basake Holy Stars's matches and 35% of Karela's.
What form are Basake Holy Stars and Karela in?
Over the last 5 games Basake Holy Stars have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Karela 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Basake Holy Stars vs Karela?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.