Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38: match statistics
Grenoble Foot 38 appears to be the favorite in this matchup, despite playing away. Bastia is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 14% win rate on home soil and a goal difference of -6, averaging just 0.86 goals per match. Grenoble boasts superior away scoring efficiency (1.38 goals/match) and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 6%). The form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Bastia currently sits in 18th place in the table, indicative of severe team issues, whereas Grenoble occupies a solid 11th position. Considering all these factors, an away victory is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option given Grenoble's weaker away disposition (63% loss rate).
Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bastia play Grenoble Foot 38 in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 3 January 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bastia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Grenoble Foot 38: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bastia scores 0.68 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Grenoble Foot 38 scores 0.97 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bastia 32%, Grenoble Foot 38 56%. Over 2.5: Bastia 18%, Grenoble Foot 38 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Bastia has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.19. Bastia: 11.5 shots per match, Grenoble Foot 38: 10.0.
Match halves
Bastia: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.26. Grenoble Foot 38: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Bastia: 31-45+ (6 goals). Grenoble Foot 38: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Grenoble Foot 38 appears to be the favorite in this matchup, despite playing away. Bastia is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 14% win rate on home soil and a goal difference of -6, averaging just 0.86 goals per match. Grenoble boasts superior away scoring efficiency (1.38 goals/match) and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 6%). The form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Bastia currently sits in 18th place in the table, indicative of severe team issues, whereas Grenoble occupies a solid 11th position. Considering all these factors, an away victory is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option given Grenoble's weaker away disposition (63% loss rate).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bastia | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bastia · 1.6 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Bastia · 0.97 goals / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Bastia scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Grenoble Foot 38 keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Grenoble Foot 38 scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bastia
Over / Under — Grenoble Foot 38
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Bastia · 1.32 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 15%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grenoble Foot 38 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bastia
Grenoble Foot 38
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Bastia | Liga | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 67% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bastia 0 - 1 - 0 Grenoble Foot 38. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
The Ligue 2 match finished Bastia 1:0 Grenoble Foot 38. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
Bastia score 0.68 goals per game on average and Grenoble Foot 38 0.97. The Ligue 2 average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bastia's matches and 56% of Grenoble Foot 38's.
What form are Bastia and Grenoble Foot 38 in?
Over the last 5 games Bastia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grenoble Foot 38 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.