Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38: match statistics
Grenoble Foot 38 appears to be the favorite in this matchup, despite playing away. Bastia is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 14% win rate on home soil and a goal difference of -6, averaging just 0.86 goals per match. Grenoble boasts superior away scoring efficiency (1.38 goals/match) and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 6%). The form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Bastia currently sits in 18th place in the table, indicative of severe team issues, whereas Grenoble occupies a solid 11th position. Considering all these factors, an away victory is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option given Grenoble's weaker away disposition (63% loss rate).
Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bastia played against Grenoble Foot 38 in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Bastia has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Grenoble Foot 38 has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Bastia scores 0.47 goals per game and allows 1.29. Grenoble Foot 38 scores 1.12 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Bastia's games and 65% of Grenoble Foot 38's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 41%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grenoble Foot 38 has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.19 per game. Bastia takes 10.9 shots per game, while Grenoble Foot 38 takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Bastia leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.18 goals per game after halftime. Grenoble Foot 38 leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bastia's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Grenoble Foot 38, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grenoble Foot 38 appears to be the favorite in this matchup, despite playing away. Bastia is displaying very poor home form, with a mere 14% win rate on home soil and a goal difference of -6, averaging just 0.86 goals per match. Grenoble boasts superior away scoring efficiency (1.38 goals/match) and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 6%). The form over the last five matches also favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG). Bastia currently sits in 18th place in the table, indicative of severe team issues, whereas Grenoble occupies a solid 11th position. Considering all these factors, an away victory is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option given Grenoble's weaker away disposition (63% loss rate).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bastia | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Bastia · 2 pts / game - Grenoble Foot 38
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 138% better for: goals scored per game.
0.47 goals / game - Bastia · 1.12 goals / game - Grenoble Foot 38
Bastia scores in 35% of games (6 of 17 meczów), while Grenoble Foot 38 keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Grenoble Foot 38 scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bastia
Over / Under - Grenoble Foot 38
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grenoble Foot 38 is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Bastia · 1.47 pts / game - Grenoble Foot 38
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Grenoble Foot 38 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bastia
Grenoble Foot 38
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Bastia | Liga | Grenoble Foot 38 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.76 | 2.50 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 47% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 68% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Bastia's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Grenoble Foot 38. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
The Ligue 2 match finished Bastia 1:0 Grenoble Foot 38. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
Bastia score 0.47 goals per game on average and Grenoble Foot 38 1.12. The Ligue 2 average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Bastia's matches and 65% of Grenoble Foot 38's.
What form are Bastia and Grenoble Foot 38 in?
Over the last 5 games Bastia have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Grenoble Foot 38 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bastia vs Grenoble Foot 38?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.