Bastia vs Nancy: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this match. Bastia shows better form in the last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 39%); however, their home record is poor (22% win rate, -7 goal difference). Nancy has a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 6%) and a higher away win percentage (30% vs Bastia's 22% at home), but their poor recent form (PPG 1.0) and high rate of goals conceded (1.6 per match) pose a problem. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering Bastia's difficulties at home and Nancy's instability away, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form.
Bastia vs Nancy: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Bastia played against Nancy in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Bastia has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Nancy has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Bastia scores 0.55 goals per game and allows 1.20. Nancy scores 0.90 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Bastia's games and 40% of Nancy's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 50%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nancy has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.21 per game. Bastia takes 11.1 shots per game, while Nancy takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Bastia leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Nancy leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Bastia's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Nancy, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams in this match. Bastia shows better form in the last five matches (3 wins, PPG 1.8) and an advantage in possession (53% vs 39%); however, their home record is poor (22% win rate, -7 goal difference). Nancy has a better shot conversion rate (11% vs 6%) and a higher away win percentage (30% vs Bastia's 22% at home), but their poor recent form (PPG 1.0) and high rate of goals conceded (1.6 per match) pose a problem. Both teams have similar xG values, suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering Bastia's difficulties at home and Nancy's instability away, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although a slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Bastia | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bastia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Bastia · 1.2 pts / game - Nancy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nancy is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
0.55 goals / game - Bastia · 0.9 goals / game - Nancy
Bastia is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Bastia · 1.45 goals / game - Nancy
Bastia scores in 40% of games (8 of 20 meczów), while Nancy keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
Nancy scores in 55% of games (11 of 20 meczów), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bastia
Over / Under - Nancy
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nancy is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Bastia · 1.35 pts / game - Nancy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Nancy - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Bastia
Nancy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Bastia | Liga | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.75 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Bastia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Nancy. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Bastia vs Nancy?
The Ligue 2 match finished Bastia 0:0 Nancy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bastia vs Nancy?
Bastia score 0.55 goals per game on average and Nancy 0.90. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Bastia's matches and 40% of Nancy's.
What form are Bastia and Nancy in?
Over the last 5 games Bastia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nancy 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bastia vs Nancy?
The statistical background for Bastia vs Nancy — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.