Batman Petrolspor vs İstanbulspor: match statistics

Batman Petrolspor are the favorites: they sit 5th and have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while İstanbulspor, 19th in the table, have lost 4 of their 5 away fixtures. The hosts average 2.25 goals per home game, and the visitors concede 2.8 per away game, pointing to plenty of opportunities for Batman Petrolspor. The hosts’ advantage in chance quality is reflected in their home xG of 1.66, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 0.94. İstanbulspor score just 0.6 goals per away game and have failed to score in 60% of their away fixtures, although the hosts have conceded an average of 2 goals across their last 5 matches. Despite this defensive weakness, the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won just 1, making a Batman Petrolspor victory the most likely outcome.

The strongest indication against both teams scoring is İstanbulspor’s attack: the visitors have failed to score in 60% of their matches, averaging just 0.6 goals and 0.94 xG per game. They have also averaged 0.6 goals across their last 5 appearances, despite Batman Petrolspor conceding 2.0 goals per game over that period. The hosts are more likely to find the net, averaging 1.33 goals per game, while the visitors concede as many as 2.8 per match. The fact that 100% of the hosts’ matches have featured goals from both teams goes against the BTTS - No pick, but the figure is just 20% for the visitors. Therefore, the slightly more likely scenario is that Batman Petrolspor score while İstanbulspor fail to find the net. BTTS - No means at least one team does not score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.

Batman Petrolspor score an average of 1.33 goals, while İstanbulspor concede 2.8 per match, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. Over their last 5 matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored, while the visitors conceded 2.2; their xG figures were also 1.69 in attack and 1.77 conceded defensively, respectively. Although İstanbulspor score just 0.6 goals per match and have failed to score in 60% of their matches, the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals, so a goal for the visitors remains a realistic prospect. Over 1.5 goals landed in 100% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ matches, making this line better supported by the data than the 2.5-goal threshold.

Batman Petrolspor led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while İstanbulspor were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5 and failed to score before the break in 4 of 5. The home and away statistics also point to an early lead: Batman average 1.0 goals scored before half-time, while İstanbulspor concede 1.6. Recent form over the last 5 matches supports the hosts’ chances of holding on to their advantage: Batman have won 3 times and scored an average of 1.8 goals, while İstanbulspor have lost 3 times and conceded an average of 2.2. Batman’s superiority is further reflected in their average xG of 1.38 compared with their opponents’ 0.94, as well as 5.33 shots on target per match versus 2.4. The HT/FT scenario of the hosts leading at the break and going on to win is therefore the strongest, although 2 draws in their 3 previous home matches warrant caution.