Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bayer Leverkusen play Hamburger SV in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hamburger SV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bayer Leverkusen scores 2.00 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Hamburger SV scores 1.18 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bayer Leverkusen 65%, Hamburger SV 65%. Over 2.5: Bayer Leverkusen 59%, Hamburger SV 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bayer Leverkusen has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.35. Bayer Leverkusen: 15.2 shots per match, Hamburger SV: 12.3.
Match halves
Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82. Hamburger SV: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (18 goals). Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Bayer Leverkusen has a clear offensive edge: they have scored 67 goals this season, and at home they average 2.31 goals per match with 18.19 shots, of which 6.38 are on target, while Hamburger SV away averages only 0.88 goals with 10.81 shots and 4.31 on-target attempts. The home advantage is confirmed by xG — 2.01 for Leverkusen at home versus 1.21 for the visitors — and by a higher chance conversion (13% vs 8%). Defensively Leverkusen concedes 1.13 goals per match at home and keep a clean sheet in 38% of games, whereas Hamburg concede 1.94 goals away and fail to score in 38% of their away matches. In the last 5 matches both teams have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses (an average of 1.2 points per match), and in that period the home side conceded 9 goals versus 12 conceded by the visitors. Based on this I forecast a home win and estimate probabilities: 68% for a Leverkusen win, 18% for a draw and 14% for a Hamburger SV win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bayer Leverkusen | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.18 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.59 goals / match - Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Hamburger SV scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bayer Leverkusen
Over / Under — Hamburger SV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen · 1.03 pts / match - Hamburger SV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Bayer Leverkusen | Liga | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 86% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 0 - 0 Hamburger SV. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
The Bundesliga match finished Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Hamburger SV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
Bayer Leverkusen score 2.00 goals per game on average and Hamburger SV 1.18. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Bayer Leverkusen's matches and 65% of Hamburger SV's.
What form are Bayer Leverkusen and Hamburger SV in?
Over the last 5 games Bayer Leverkusen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hamburger SV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.