Germany - BundesligaAllianz ArenaData current as of October 15, 2026

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bayern München plays RB Leipzig in Bundesliga (Germany). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Allianz Arena.

Recent form

Bayern München has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. RB Leipzig has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bayern München scores 3.20 goals per game and allows 0.80. RB Leipzig scores 3.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Bayern München's games and 20% of RB Leipzig's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 80%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bayern München has the higher season xG average, 2.83 to 2.06 per game. Bayern München takes 23.4 shots per game, while RB Leipzig takes 19.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Bayern München leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 2.20 goals per game after halftime. RB Leipzig leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bayern München's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For RB Leipzig, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Bundesliga games average 3.82 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.23)
(8.35)
(11.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
3.2Goals scored / game3
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0.8Goals allowed / game1
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
70%Average possession56%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
9Shots on target / game7
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

23.4Shots per game19
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
9Shots on target7
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
13.7%Shot conversion15.8%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
70%Possession56%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
2.83xG for2.06
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0.81xG against1.65
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Shooting quality

Bayern München: DominantRB Leipzig: Dominant
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bayern München is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Bayern München · 1.8 pts / game - RB Leipzig

Bayern München
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.83Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
RB Leipzig
WLWLW
Season result split
60% W0% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayern München is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

3.2 goals / game - Bayern München · 3 goals / game - RB Leipzig

Bayern München is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Bayern München · 1 goals / game - RB Leipzig

Bayern München scoring profile: mixed

Bayern München scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while RB Leipzig keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 games).

RB Leipzig scoring profile: strong

RB Leipzig scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

16Goals scored (season)15
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
4Goals conceded (season)5
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
4Average goals per game4
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
16Goals scored (last 5)15
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
80%2 goals60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
40%3 goals60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
40%4 goals40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
20%2 goals40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0%3 goals20%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0%4 goals0%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
60%Scored in both halves60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
60%BTTS - last 520%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bayern München is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Bayern München · 1.8 pts / game - RB Leipzig

Bayern München - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing
RB Leipzig - half-time state
60% leading0% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1.8
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
1Goals scored (1st half)1.4
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
1.2Average goals (1st half)1.8
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
40%No goal before half-time40%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

After half-time (2nd half)

2.2Points per game (2nd half)1.8
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
2.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
2.8Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
20%No goal after half-time20%
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

Bayern München - second-half results

60% W40% D0% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

RB Leipzig - second-half results

60% W0% D40% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bayern München - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.20
Goals scored / game1.02.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.22.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
RB Leipzig - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.80
Goals scored / game1.41.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+5+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bayern München
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

RB Leipzig
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bayern München

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

RB Leipzig

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.94
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
204%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
42%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Bayern MünchenLigaRB Leipzig
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.82▲ 4.00
Both teams scored• 60%60%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%78%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 40%23%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 80%87%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.82
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.36
Home goals / game
1.47
Away goals / game
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
49%
3 goals
22%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Bayern München's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against RB Leipzig. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Rasen Ballsport Leipzig
1 : 5
FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München
6 : 0
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig

FAQ

When do Bayern München and RB Leipzig play?

Bayern München face RB Leipzig on October 17, 2026 in Bundesliga at Allianz Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and RB Leipzig?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bayern München won 2, RB Leipzig won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern München score 3.20 goals per game on average and RB Leipzig 3.00. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bayern München's matches and 20% of RB Leipzig's.

What form are Bayern München and RB Leipzig in?

Over the last 5 games Bayern München have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and RB Leipzig 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.