International - World CupLumen FieldData current as of September 06, 2026

Belgium vs Senegal: match statistics

Belgium crest
Belgium
3 : 2half-time 0:1
Senegal crest
Senegal

Belgium vs Senegal: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Belgium played against Senegal in World Cup (International). The game was played on July 1, 2026. Venue: Lumen Field. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Belgium has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.67 points per game. Senegal has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Belgium scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.67. Senegal scores 2.67 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Belgium's games and 67% of Senegal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 100%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Belgium has the higher season xG average, 2.55 to 1.90 per game. Belgium takes 24.3 shots per game, while Senegal takes 16.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Belgium leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Senegal leads at halftime in 33% and scores 2.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Belgium's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Senegal, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

World Cup games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 2. Senegal is the second big sensation in our round because he has the physicality, intensity and mentality needed to punish Belgium. Belgium has bigger names, but its structure without the ball does not look stable enough to calmly control the quick transitions of Senegal. We expect a close match, but with more real breakthrough moments for Senegal. Our prediction is 33% for Belgium, 32% for draw and 35% for Senegal. Most likely exact score: 1:2. Promotion: Senegal (48% vs 52%). Status: BET

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Typ BTTS: yes. Senegal is the second big sensation in our round because he has the physicality, intensity and mentality needed to punish Belgium. Belgium has bigger names, but its structure without the ball does not look stable enough to calmly control the quick transitions of Senegal. We expect a close match, but with more real breakthrough moments for Senegal. Both teams have a viable path to goal: the favorite through longer possession or individual quality, and the other side through transitions, set pieces or space after the opening match. The model gives 58% on BTTS Yes and 42% on BTTS No, with expected goals Belgium 1.30, Senegal 1.45. Status: SMALL BET

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Typ: over 2.5. Senegal is the second big sensation in our round because he has the physicality, intensity and mentality needed to punish Belgium. Belgium has bigger names, but its structure without the ball does not look stable enough to calmly control the quick transitions of Senegal. We expect a close match, but with more real breakthrough moments for Senegal. The gate model gives 52% for Over 2.5 and 48% for Under 2.5. xG: Belgium 1.30, Senegal 1.45, total 2.75. Most likely result: 1:2. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: NOBET

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Typ HT/FT: X/X. Senegal is the second big sensation in our round because he has the physicality, intensity and mentality needed to punish Belgium. Belgium has bigger names, but its structure without the ball does not look stable enough to calmly control the quick transitions of Senegal. We expect a close match, but with more real breakthrough moments for Senegal. We assume a cautious start and the outcome only after one side increases the risk or the favorite finds more space. The highest model paths are X/X 19%, 1/1 18% and 2/2 18%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 33%-32%-35% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
3 : 1
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
BelgiumSenegal
19Shots19
BelgiumSenegal
5Shots on target5
BelgiumSenegal
2.07xG2.09
BelgiumSenegal
4Corners2
BelgiumSenegal
72Dangerous attacks74
BelgiumSenegal
22Fouls12
BelgiumSenegal
1Cards1
BelgiumSenegal

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Points per gamePPG - points per game.1
BelgiumSenegal
2Goals scored / game2.67
BelgiumSenegal
0.67Goals allowed / game2
BelgiumSenegal
2.55xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.9
BelgiumSenegal
59%Average possession58%
BelgiumSenegal
6.67Shots on target / game6
BelgiumSenegal
33%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.33%
BelgiumSenegal
67%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.67%
BelgiumSenegal

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

24.33Shots per game16.67
BelgiumSenegal
6.67Shots on target6
BelgiumSenegal
8.2%Shot conversion16%
BelgiumSenegal
59%Possession58%
BelgiumSenegal
2.55xG for1.9
BelgiumSenegal
0.98xG against1.2
BelgiumSenegal

Shooting quality

Belgium: DominantSenegal: Dominant
BelgiumSenegal
Accuracy (shots on target)27%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Belgium is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.67 pts / game - Belgium · 1 pts / game - Senegal

Belgium
DDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
33% W67% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.55Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
Senegal
LLW
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Senegal is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Belgium · 2.67 goals / game - Senegal

Belgium is 199% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Belgium · 2 goals / game - Senegal

Belgium scoring profile: strong

Belgium scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 meczów), while Senegal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).

Senegal scoring profile: very strong

Senegal scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Belgium keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)8
BelgiumSenegal
2Goals conceded (season)6
BelgiumSenegal
2.67Average goals per game4.67
BelgiumSenegal
6Goals scored (last 5)8
BelgiumSenegal
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
BelgiumSenegal
Belgium
33%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 3 meczów
33%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 3 meczów
Senegal
33%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 3 meczów
0%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.0 of 3 meczów

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%2 goals67%
BelgiumSenegal
33%3 goals33%
BelgiumSenegal
33%4 goals33%
BelgiumSenegal

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
BelgiumSenegal
0%2 goals67%
BelgiumSenegal
0%3 goals67%
BelgiumSenegal
0%4 goals0%
BelgiumSenegal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
Belgium - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 3 meczów
67%
Senegal - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 3 meczów
55%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
BelgiumSenegal
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Scored in both halves33%
BelgiumSenegal

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
BelgiumSenegal
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
BelgiumSenegal
67%BTTS - last 567%
BelgiumSenegal

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

67%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.100%
BelgiumSenegal
67%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.67%
BelgiumSenegal

Over / Under - Belgium

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%

Over / Under - Senegal

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BelgiumSenegal
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
BelgiumSenegal
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BelgiumSenegal

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
BelgiumSenegal
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time100%
BelgiumSenegal

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Belgium - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Senegal - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.33
BelgiumSenegal
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
BelgiumSenegal
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
BelgiumSenegal
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.67
BelgiumSenegal
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BelgiumSenegal
67%No goal before half-time67%
BelgiumSenegal

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1.33
BelgiumSenegal
1.67Goals scored (2nd half)2.33
BelgiumSenegal
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
BelgiumSenegal
2Average goals (2nd half)4
BelgiumSenegal
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
BelgiumSenegal
33%No goal after half-time0%
BelgiumSenegal

Belgium - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Senegal - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.3

Allows 1.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Belgium - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.332.33
Goals scored / game0.31.7
Goals allowed / game0.30.3
Average goals per game0.72.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Senegal - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.331.33
Goals scored / game0.32.3
Goals allowed / game0.31.7
Average goals per game0.74.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Belgium
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Senegal
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Belgium

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Senegal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
230%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).

Teams vs league

BelgiumLigaSenegal
Average goals per game▼ 2.672.93▲ 4.67
Both teams scored▲ 67%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%55%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%71%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%79%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.16
Away goals / game
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SenegalGoalMouhamadou Diarra
  2. BelgiumSubstitutionOn: Romelu Lukaku MenamaOff: Charles De Ketelaere
  3. SenegalGoalIsmaïla SarrAssist: Moussa Niakhaté
  4. BelgiumSubstitutionOn: Diego Manuel Jadon da Silva MoreiraOff: Hans Vanaken
  5. BelgiumYellow cardBrandon Mechele
  6. SenegalSubstitutionOn: Lamine CamaraOff: Pape Gueye
  7. SenegalYellow cardLamine Camara
  8. BelgiumSubstitutionOn: Thomas MeunierOff: Maxim De Cuyper
  9. BelgiumGoalRomelu Lukaku MenamaAssist: Thomas Meunier
  10. BelgiumGoalYouri Marion TielemansAssist: Leandro Trossard
  11. SenegalSubstitutionOn: Bara Joseph Sapoko NdiayeOff: Idrissa Gana Gueye
  12. BelgiumSubstitutionOn: Amadou Ba Zeund Georges Mvom OnanaOff: Leandro Trossard
  13. BelgiumGoalYouri Marion Tielemans

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Home managerRudi Garcia

FAQ

What was the result of Belgium vs Senegal?

The World Cup match finished Belgium 3:2 Senegal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Belgium vs Senegal?

Belgium score 2.00 goals per game on average and Senegal 2.67. The World Cup average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Belgium's matches and 67% of Senegal's.

What form are Belgium and Senegal in?

Over the last 5 games Belgium have a 1-2-0 record (1.67 points per game) and Senegal 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belgium vs Senegal?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Belgium vs Senegal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.