Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán: match statistics
Belgrano presents solid home form with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws without a loss, resulting in a 50% home win rate. The hosts maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets at their stadium, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match, while Atlético Tucumán has a disastrous away record with three defeats in three matches and an average of two goals conceded per game. The difference in possession (62% vs 48%) and higher xG efficiency (1.66 vs 1.11) further speak in Belgrano's favor. The form of the guests' last five away matches (lll) compared to the hosts' decent streak (ddwwd) suggests an advantage for the home team. Considering all indicators, especially Belgrano's defensive stability and Atlético's offensive problems on the road, I expect a home victory, although their moderate scoring efficiency might make the match a tight contest.
Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Belgrano play Atlético Tucumán in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Belgrano: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Atlético Tucumán: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Belgrano scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Atlético Tucumán scores 0.94 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Belgrano 40%, Atlético Tucumán 56%. Over 2.5: Belgrano 35%, Atlético Tucumán 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Tucumán has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.36. Belgrano: 11.7 shots per match, Atlético Tucumán: 12.3.
Match halves
Belgrano: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.90. Atlético Tucumán: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Belgrano: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atlético Tucumán: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Belgrano presents solid home form with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws without a loss, resulting in a 50% home win rate. The hosts maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets at their stadium, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match, while Atlético Tucumán has a disastrous away record with three defeats in three matches and an average of two goals conceded per game. The difference in possession (62% vs 48%) and higher xG efficiency (1.66 vs 1.11) further speak in Belgrano's favor. The form of the guests' last five away matches (lll) compared to the hosts' decent streak (ddwwd) suggests an advantage for the home team. Considering all indicators, especially Belgrano's defensive stability and Atlético's offensive problems on the road, I expect a home victory, although their moderate scoring efficiency might make the match a tight contest.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Belgrano | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Belgrano is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Belgrano · 1 pts / match - Atlético Tucumán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Belgrano is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Belgrano · 0.94 goals / match - Atlético Tucumán
Belgrano is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Belgrano · 1.25 goals / match - Atlético Tucumán
Belgrano scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Atlético Tucumán keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
Atlético Tucumán scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Belgrano keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Belgrano
Over / Under — Atlético Tucumán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Belgrano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Tucumán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Belgrano
Atlético Tucumán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Belgrano | Liga | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Belgrano 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético Tucumán. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán?
The Primera División match finished Belgrano 3:1 Atlético Tucumán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán?
Belgrano score 1.20 goals per game on average and Atlético Tucumán 0.94. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Belgrano's matches and 56% of Atlético Tucumán's.
What form are Belgrano and Atlético Tucumán in?
Over the last 5 games Belgrano have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético Tucumán 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán?
The statistical background for Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.