Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams with a slight leaning towards a draw. Bidco United displays very poor home form with only 10% of matches won at home and a disastrous record of 0 victories in the last 5 matches. TransMara Sugar shows stability on the road with 67% draws in away matches, which constitutes a dominant pattern in their play. The visitors score an average of 1.22 goals away with better efficiency (3.63 shots on target) compared to the hosts' 0.5 goals and 1.9 shots on target. Bidco United has failed to score in 60% of home matches, while TransMara has a failed-to-score rate of only 22% away. Given the hosts' poor form, the visitors' tendency to draw, and the balanced xG values of both teams, a split of points is the most likely result.
Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bidco United play TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Bidco United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bidco United scores 0.55 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bidco United 34%, TransMara Sugar 39%. Over 2.5: Bidco United 31%, TransMara Sugar 29%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.23. Bidco United: 7.7 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 11.3.
Match halves
Bidco United: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.14. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
Bidco United: 0-15 (11 goals). TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams with a slight leaning towards a draw. Bidco United displays very poor home form with only 10% of matches won at home and a disastrous record of 0 victories in the last 5 matches. TransMara Sugar shows stability on the road with 67% draws in away matches, which constitutes a dominant pattern in their play. The visitors score an average of 1.22 goals away with better efficiency (3.63 shots on target) compared to the hosts' 0.5 goals and 1.9 shots on target. Bidco United has failed to score in 60% of home matches, while TransMara has a failed-to-score rate of only 22% away. Given the hosts' poor form, the visitors' tendency to draw, and the balanced xG values of both teams, a split of points is the most likely result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bidco United | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransMara Sugar is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Bidco United · 1.6 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Bidco United · 0.93 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Bidco United · 0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
Bidco United scores in 45% of matches (13 of 29 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Bidco United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bidco United
Over / Under — TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bidco United is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bidco United · 0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bidco United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (27). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bidco United
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bidco United | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.69 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 43% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 17% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bidco United 0 - 1 - 0 TransMara Sugar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Bidco United 2:2 TransMara Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar?
Bidco United score 0.55 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 0.93. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Bidco United's matches and 39% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are Bidco United and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Bidco United have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bidco United vs TransMara Sugar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.