Birmingham City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham City play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 26 December 2025 at 13:30. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Birmingham City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Derby County: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham City scores 1.24 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.46 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham City 57%, Derby County 65%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 46%, Derby County 52%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.25. Birmingham City: 13.6 shots per match, Derby County: 11.0.

Match halves

Birmingham City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Derby County: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Birmingham City: 16-30 (11 goals). Derby County: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

74Possession (%)26
Birmingham CityDerby County
25Shots5
Birmingham CityDerby County
9Shots on target1
Birmingham CityDerby County
2.94xG0.56
Birmingham CityDerby County
12Corners1
Birmingham CityDerby County
103Dangerous attacks23
Birmingham CityDerby County
17Fouls13
Birmingham CityDerby County
4Cards3
Birmingham CityDerby County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham CityDerby County
1.24Goals scored / match1.46
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.22Goals conceded / match1.28
Birmingham CityDerby County
54%Average possession44%
Birmingham CityDerby County
4.13Shots on target / match3.57
Birmingham CityDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.61Shots per match10.96
Birmingham CityDerby County
4.13Shots on target3.57
Birmingham CityDerby County
9.1%Shot conversion13.3%
Birmingham CityDerby County
54%Possession44%
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.51xG for1.25
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.23xG against1.46
Birmingham CityDerby County

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
Birmingham CityDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham City is 83% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.2 pts / match - Derby County

Birmingham City
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W28% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-13-16
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-8-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Derby County
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W20% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-17
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-3-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.46 goals / match - Derby County

Birmingham City is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.28 goals / match - Derby County

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 91% of matches (42 of 46 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).

57Goals scored (season)67
Birmingham CityDerby County
56Goals conceded (season)59
Birmingham CityDerby County
2.46Average goals in match2.74
Birmingham CityDerby County
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Birmingham CityDerby County
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
Birmingham CityDerby County

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal91%
Birmingham CityDerby County
33%2 goals37%
Birmingham CityDerby County
9%3 goals13%
Birmingham CityDerby County
7%4 goals2%
Birmingham CityDerby County

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal74%
Birmingham CityDerby County
28%2 goals35%
Birmingham CityDerby County
15%3 goals13%
Birmingham CityDerby County
0%4 goals4%
Birmingham CityDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time20%
Birmingham CityDerby County
7%BTTS in both halves7%
Birmingham CityDerby County
17%Scored in both halves22%
Birmingham CityDerby County

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Birmingham CityDerby County
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Birmingham CityDerby County
80%BTTS - last 580%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Birmingham CityDerby County
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
Birmingham CityDerby County
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Birmingham CityDerby County

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Birmingham CityDerby County
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Birmingham CityDerby County
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 1.52 pts / match - Derby County

Birmingham City - half-time state
30% leading28% draw41% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.52
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.24
Birmingham CityDerby County
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Birmingham CityDerby County
54%No goal before half-time43%
Birmingham CityDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Birmingham CityDerby County
54%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Birmingham CityDerby County
52%No goal after half-time43%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Birmingham City - second-half results

30% W43% R26% P
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - second-half results

33% W39% R28% P
70
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
10
10
0-15
11
12
16-30
8
12
31-45
9
8
46-60
8
7
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
8
11
0-15
9
5
16-30
15
9
31-45
13
5
46-60
10
15
61-75
12
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 2.462.59 2.74
Both teams scored 57%57% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%50% 52%
Clean sheets 22%25% 26%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 80%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 1 Derby County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Birmingham City vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Derby County?

Birmingham City score 1.24 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.46. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's matches and 65% of Derby County's.

What form are Birmingham City and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Derby County 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Derby County?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.