Birmingham City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Birmingham City played against Derby County in Championship (England). The game was played on December 26, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Birmingham City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Derby County has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Birmingham City scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.32. Derby County scores 1.41 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of Birmingham City's games and 73% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.15 per game. Birmingham City takes 13.8 shots per game, while Derby County takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Birmingham City leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.82 after halftime.

When the teams score

Birmingham City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

74Possession (%)26
Birmingham CityDerby County
25Shots5
Birmingham CityDerby County
9Shots on target1
Birmingham CityDerby County
2.94xG0.56
Birmingham CityDerby County
12Corners1
Birmingham CityDerby County
103Dangerous attacks23
Birmingham CityDerby County
17Fouls13
Birmingham CityDerby County
4Cards3
Birmingham CityDerby County

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Birmingham CityDerby County
1.36Goals scored / game1.41
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.32Goals allowed / game1.36
Birmingham CityDerby County
55%Average possession42%
Birmingham CityDerby County
3.59Shots on target / game3.32
Birmingham CityDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.77Shots per game9.68
Birmingham CityDerby County
3.59Shots on target3.32
Birmingham CityDerby County
9.9%Shot conversion14.6%
Birmingham CityDerby County
55%Possession42%
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.47xG for1.15
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.19xG against1.41
Birmingham CityDerby County

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
Birmingham CityDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)26%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Derby County is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1 pts / game - Derby County

Birmingham City
WLLDL
Season result split
36% W23% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-9
1.32 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Derby County
LLDWD
Season result split
36% W32% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-7
1.41 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).

30Goals scored (season)31
Birmingham CityDerby County
29Goals conceded (season)30
Birmingham CityDerby County
2.68Average goals per game2.77
Birmingham CityDerby County
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Birmingham CityDerby County
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Birmingham CityDerby County

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal91%
Birmingham CityDerby County
32%2 goals36%
Birmingham CityDerby County
14%3 goals14%
Birmingham CityDerby County
14%4 goals0%
Birmingham CityDerby County

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal82%
Birmingham CityDerby County
36%2 goals27%
Birmingham CityDerby County
18%3 goals18%
Birmingham CityDerby County
0%4 goals5%
Birmingham CityDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%
Birmingham CityDerby County
9%BTTS in both halves5%
Birmingham CityDerby County
23%Scored in both halves27%
Birmingham CityDerby County

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Birmingham CityDerby County
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Birmingham CityDerby County
80%BTTS - last 580%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Birmingham CityDerby County
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
Birmingham CityDerby County
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Birmingham CityDerby County

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Birmingham CityDerby County
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Birmingham CityDerby County
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.45 pts / game - Derby County

Birmingham City - half-time state
32% leading18% draw50% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.45
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.77Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.14
Birmingham CityDerby County
41%Clean sheet before half-time59%
Birmingham CityDerby County
55%No goal before half-time50%
Birmingham CityDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
Birmingham CityDerby County
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Birmingham CityDerby County
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.64
Birmingham CityDerby County
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Birmingham CityDerby County
45%No goal after half-time32%
Birmingham CityDerby County

Birmingham City - second-half results

32% W45% R23% P
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derby County - second-half results

36% W41% R23% P
32
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Birmingham City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Derby County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
5
5
16-30
6
6
31-45
6
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
5
7
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaDerby County
Average goals per game 2.682.65 2.77
Both teams scored 55%60% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%52% 50%
Clean sheets 23%23% 18%
Goal before half-time 86%74% 77%
Goal after half-time 77%78% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.21
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Birmingham CitySubstitutionOn: Lewis KoumasOff: Demarai Ramelle Gray
  2. Derby CountyGoalPatrick AgyemangAssist: Rhian Brewster
  3. Derby CountyYellow cardJoe Ward
  4. Derby CountyYellow cardJoe Ward
  5. Birmingham CityYellow cardChristoph Klarer
  6. Birmingham CityGoalJack Robinson
  7. Derby CountyYellow cardSondre Klingen Langås
  8. Birmingham CityYellow cardJay Stansfield
  9. Birmingham CityYellow cardSeung-Ho Paik
  10. Derby CountySubstitutionOn: Kayden JacksonOff: Patrick Agyemang
  11. Derby CountySubstitutionOn: Craig ForsythOff: Sondre Klingen Langås
  12. Birmingham CityYellow cardChristoph Klarer

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ben TonerMatches officiated: 18
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Birmingham City vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Derby County?

Birmingham City score 1.36 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.41. The Championship average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Birmingham City's matches and 73% of Derby County's.

What form are Birmingham City and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Derby County 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Derby County?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Derby County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.