Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: match statistics
Birmingham City presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference at their own stadium. Middlesbrough sits second in the table, yet their away form is significantly weaker—only 47% away wins and 24% of matches without scoring. The last five matches for both teams show identical scoring records (1.6 PPG), suggesting balanced form. Birmingham holds the possession metrics (55% vs 59%), but Middlesbrough demonstrates better efficiency in overall matches. Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the marginal difference in xG, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Birmingham, though a draw appears the most likely outcome.
Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Birmingham City played against Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The game was played on March 2, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Birmingham City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Middlesbrough has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Birmingham City scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.26. Middlesbrough scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Birmingham City's games and 56% of Middlesbrough's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Middlesbrough has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.50 per game. Birmingham City takes 14.0 shots per game, while Middlesbrough takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Birmingham City leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Middlesbrough leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Birmingham City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Middlesbrough, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Birmingham City presents solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive +15 goal difference at their own stadium. Middlesbrough sits second in the table, yet their away form is significantly weaker—only 47% away wins and 24% of matches without scoring. The last five matches for both teams show identical scoring records (1.6 PPG), suggesting balanced form. Birmingham holds the possession metrics (55% vs 59%), but Middlesbrough demonstrates better efficiency in overall matches. Given the hosts' advantage on home turf and the marginal difference in xG, I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Birmingham, though a draw appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Birmingham City | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Birmingham City is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.6 pts / game - Middlesbrough
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Middlesbrough is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Birmingham City · 1.5 goals / game - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.26 goals / game - Birmingham City · 1 goals / game - Middlesbrough
Birmingham City scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 meczów), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 meczów).
Middlesbrough scores in 76% of games (26 of 34 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Birmingham City
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Middlesbrough is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Birmingham City · 1.35 pts / game - Middlesbrough
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Birmingham City | Liga | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.59 | 2.59 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Birmingham City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Middlesbrough. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
The Championship match finished Birmingham City 1:3 Middlesbrough. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham City score 1.32 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 1.50. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Birmingham City's matches and 56% of Middlesbrough's.
What form are Birmingham City and Middlesbrough in?
Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Middlesbrough 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.