Birmingham City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Birmingham City play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 1 December 2025 at 21:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Birmingham City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Watford: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Birmingham City scores 1.24 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Watford scores 1.15 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Birmingham City 57%, Watford 59%. Over 2.5: Birmingham City 46%, Watford 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.49. Birmingham City: 13.6 shots per match, Watford: 13.8.

Match halves

Birmingham City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Watford: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Birmingham City: 16-30 (11 goals). Watford: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Birmingham CityWatford
13Shots12
Birmingham CityWatford
5Shots on target4
Birmingham CityWatford
1.53xG1.3
Birmingham CityWatford
6Corners6
Birmingham CityWatford
50Dangerous attacks36
Birmingham CityWatford
11Fouls10
Birmingham CityWatford
3Cards2
Birmingham CityWatford

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Birmingham CityWatford
1.24Goals scored / match1.15
Birmingham CityWatford
1.22Goals conceded / match1.41
Birmingham CityWatford
54%Average possession51%
Birmingham CityWatford
4.13Shots on target / match4.43
Birmingham CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.61Shots per match13.85
Birmingham CityWatford
4.13Shots on target4.43
Birmingham CityWatford
9.1%Shot conversion8.3%
Birmingham CityWatford
54%Possession51%
Birmingham CityWatford
1.51xG for1.49
Birmingham CityWatford
1.23xG against1.38
Birmingham CityWatford

Shooting quality

Birmingham City: BalancedWatford: Balanced
Birmingham CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)30%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Birmingham City
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W28% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-13-16
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-8-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Watford
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W33% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-15-17
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-8-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Birmingham City is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.24 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.15 goals / match - Watford

Birmingham City is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Birmingham City · 1.41 goals / match - Watford

Birmingham City scoring profile: very strong

Birmingham City scores in 76% of matches (35 of 46 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 15% (7 of 46 matches).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).

57Goals scored (season)53
Birmingham CityWatford
56Goals conceded (season)65
Birmingham CityWatford
2.46Average goals in match2.57
Birmingham CityWatford
8Goals scored (last 5)1
Birmingham CityWatford
4Goals conceded (last 5)16
Birmingham CityWatford

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal70%
Birmingham CityWatford
33%2 goals35%
Birmingham CityWatford
9%3 goals11%
Birmingham CityWatford
7%4 goals0%
Birmingham CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal85%
Birmingham CityWatford
28%2 goals39%
Birmingham CityWatford
15%3 goals11%
Birmingham CityWatford
0%4 goals4%
Birmingham CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time24%
Birmingham CityWatford
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Birmingham CityWatford
17%Scored in both halves17%
Birmingham CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Birmingham CityWatford
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Birmingham CityWatford
80%BTTS - last 520%
Birmingham CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Birmingham CityWatford
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Birmingham CityWatford
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Birmingham CityWatford

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Birmingham CityWatford
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
Birmingham CityWatford
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Birmingham CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Birmingham City is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Birmingham City · 0.98 pts / match - Watford

Birmingham City - half-time state
30% leading28% draw41% trailing
Watford - half-time state
17% leading46% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)0.98
Birmingham CityWatford
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Birmingham CityWatford
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Birmingham CityWatford
1.37Average goals (1st half)1.22
Birmingham CityWatford
43%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Birmingham CityWatford
54%No goal before half-time65%
Birmingham CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.41
Birmingham CityWatford
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Birmingham CityWatford
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Birmingham CityWatford
1.09Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Birmingham CityWatford
54%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Birmingham CityWatford
52%No goal after half-time48%
Birmingham CityWatford

Birmingham City - second-half results

30% W43% R26% P
55
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

37% W30% R33% P
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.98
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Birmingham City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-7-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Birmingham City
ScoredConceded
10
10
0-15
11
12
16-30
8
12
31-45
9
8
46-60
8
7
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
6
13
16-30
11
12
31-45
9
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Birmingham City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Birmingham CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.462.59 2.57
Both teams scored 57%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 46%50% 48%
Clean sheets 22%25% 15%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 70%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Birmingham City 0 - 0 - 1 Watford. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Birmingham City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Birmingham City 2:1 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Birmingham City vs Watford?

Birmingham City score 1.24 goals per game on average and Watford 1.15. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Birmingham City's matches and 59% of Watford's.

What form are Birmingham City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Birmingham City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Watford 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Birmingham City vs Watford?

The statistical background for Birmingham City vs Watford — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.