Boreham Wood vs Tamworth: match statistics

Boreham Wood sit 5th, while Tamworth are only 20th, clearly highlighting the gap in the teams’ performances so far. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten during this period, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 4. Tamworth have scored 9 goals in their last five games, but have won only twice, drawing 2 matches and losing one. Boreham Wood have averaged 1.6 goals per game during their recent run, while conceding just 0.8, whereas the visitors have conceded an average of 1 goal per match. The hosts’ greater consistency, higher league position and more solid defense all point towards a Boreham Wood victory, although Tamworth’s attacking potential increases the likelihood of a closely contested match.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60% each and providing a moderately clear signal for goals at both ends. During this period, Boreham Wood averaged 1.6 goals, while Tamworth averaged 1.8, meaning both sides consistently produced effective attacking performances. Their offensive potential is supported by xG: 1.64 for the hosts and 1.65 for the visitors, alongside relatively high xG conceded by their opponents, at 1.40 and 1.60 respectively. The hosts conceded only 4 goals in five matches, so the risk of Tamworth failing to score remains significant; however, the 5 goals conceded by the visitors strengthen the outlook for a Boreham Wood goal. The attacking signals outweigh the defensive ones, giving a slight indication toward a scenario in which both teams score.

Both teams have been showing effective attacking form recently: Boreham Wood have scored 8 goals in five matches, while Tamworth have scored 9, averaging 1.6 and 1.8 goals per game, respectively. Their creative potential is also high, with average xG figures from the last five appearances standing at 1.64 for the hosts and 1.65 for the visitors. However, both teams have conceded roughly one goal per match—0.8 for Boreham Wood and 1.0 for Tamworth—making the Over/Under 2.5 line more evenly balanced than the market for at least two goals. Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, while Boreham Wood’s games finished with Over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.95 goals clearly supports a scenario with at least two goals.

Boreham Wood are in clearly better late-game form: they have won 80% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Tamworth have won 40% of their games and conceded an average of 1.0 goal. The hosts start matches very solidly, scoring an average of 0.75 goals before half-time and allowing opponents just 0.25, whereas Tamworth concede 0.6 goals per match before the break. Boreham Wood led at the break in 50% of the matches analyzed and have never gone into half-time trailing, strengthening the scenario of the hosts establishing an advantage in the first half. After the interval, the visitors score an average of 1.0 goal, but their 40% draw rate in recent matches and Boreham Wood’s superior overall efficiency favor the hosts maintaining their lead until full-time.