Boston River vs Peñarol: match statistics
Peñarol is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors are in excellent form with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss this season, scoring 12 goals while conceding just 6. Boston River, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, especially at home, where they haven't won a single match (0% win rate), with 75% of their home matches ending in defeat, scoring only 3 goals all season. Peñarol dominates in terms of possession (54% vs 47%), shot accuracy (7% vs 3%), and expected goals (xG 1.44 vs 1.02). The visitors' form in the last five matches (W W D W W, 2.6 points per game) contrasts sharply with the hosts' dismal form (D W L L W, 1.4 points per game). All key indicators point to a certain victory for Peñarol.
Boston River vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Boston River played against Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 25, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Boston River has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Peñarol has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Boston River scores 0.43 goals per game and allows 1.00. Peñarol scores 1.71 and allows 0.86. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Boston River's games and 71% of Peñarol's. The Over 2.5 rates are 14% and 57%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 0.91 per game. Boston River takes 6.3 shots per game, while Peñarol takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Boston River leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.29 goals per game after halftime. Peñarol leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Boston River's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Peñarol, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol is the clear favorite in this match. The visitors are in excellent form with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss this season, scoring 12 goals while conceding just 6. Boston River, on the other hand, is performing very poorly, especially at home, where they haven't won a single match (0% win rate), with 75% of their home matches ending in defeat, scoring only 3 goals all season. Peñarol dominates in terms of possession (54% vs 47%), shot accuracy (7% vs 3%), and expected goals (xG 1.44 vs 1.02). The visitors' form in the last five matches (W W D W W, 2.6 points per game) contrasts sharply with the hosts' dismal form (D W L L W, 1.4 points per game). All key indicators point to a certain victory for Peñarol.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Peñarol boasts very solid defensive metrics: just 0.67 goals conceded per match and a 67% clean sheet rate this season, which lowers Boston River's chances of scoring. Boston River has averaged only 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches (xG 0.94), with a BTTS rate of just 20% over this period, suggesting more frequent goalless outings. Simultaneously, Peñarol has conceded only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 games, and their xG against (0.84) supports the scenario of limiting the opponent's chances. Although the seasonal xG averages of both sides (approx. 1.4–1.6 xG) indicate goal-scoring potential, Boston River's current form and Peñarol's high defensive efficiency are stronger signals against BTTS. Therefore, the outcome where at least one team fails to score is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and recent form from the last 5 matches indicates a moderate goal tally (approximately 2.22 total). Peñarol has a very solid defense this season (0.67 goals conceded per match) and a high CS% (67%), which limits the match's goal ceiling. Boston River averages only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches, and their last5 Over 2.5 is 0%, reinforcing the lower-score scenario despite their decent seasonal home averages. Meanwhile, the xG against for both sides is around 1.0 (0.97–0.98), suggesting no conditions for a 'goal fest'. Compared to the league average (2.27 goals), the forecast remains slightly under-leaning, with Under 3.5 being the strongest pick due to the low probability of exceeding 4 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the halftime result is a draw: Peñarol have a 67% rate of matches drawn at HT, concede 0.0 goals on average in the first half, and maintain a 100% clean sheet rate at the break, while Boston River have drawn 80% of their last 5 matches at halftime, with a very low average goals scored in the first half (0.2). In the second half, the advantage swings towards the visitors, as Peñarol are in clearly better form (last5 PPG 2.6, 80% wins, 0% losses) with a stable defense (last5 conceded 0.6). Boston River are in weaker recent form (last5 scored 0.6, PPG 1.4) and struggle to maintain a lead in matches. Furthermore, predicting a Peñarol win is supported by their seasonal efficiency in defending a lead (67% clean sheets), which favors a 'to nil' or 'to 1' scenario after the break. Therefore, the most likely outcome is X/2, with 2/2 as an alternative in case of a more open start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Boston River | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Peñarol is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Boston River · 2.6 pts / game - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 298% better for: goals scored per game.
0.43 goals / game - Boston River · 1.71 goals / game - Peñarol
Peñarol is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Boston River · 0.86 goals / game - Peñarol
Boston River scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Peñarol scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Boston River
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Boston River · 1.57 pts / game - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Boston River - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Boston River
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Boston River | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.43 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Boston River's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Peñarol. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Boston River vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Boston River 0:2 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Boston River and Peñarol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Boston River won 1, Peñarol won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Boston River vs Peñarol?
Boston River score 0.43 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.71. The Primera División average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Boston River's matches and 71% of Peñarol's.
What form are Boston River and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Boston River have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Peñarol 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Boston River vs Peñarol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.