Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza: match statistics
Fortaleza are showing better form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (0 defeats), averaging 2.2 points per game, while Botafogo SP have 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match). The visitors are on an excellent unbeaten run in their last five games, as shown by the 'wddww' sequence, while the hosts ended their last match with a defeat ('wlwwl'). Fortaleza have scored 8 goals in their last five matches while conceding 5, resulting in a +3 goal difference, whereas Botafogo SP have scored 4 and conceded 3. Botafogo SP's higher league position (5th place) may suggest an advantage; however, the lack of detailed home and away statistics combined with Fortaleza's superior current form favor the visitors. I predict a Fortaleza victory, although a draw or an upset from the hosts cannot be ruled out.
Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo SP play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 21 March 2026 at 23:15. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Botafogo SP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo SP scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo SP 50%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: Botafogo SP 39%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.37. Botafogo SP: 12.3 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
Botafogo SP: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (6 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Fortaleza are showing better form in their last five matches with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws (0 defeats), averaging 2.2 points per game, while Botafogo SP have 3 wins and 2 losses (1.8 points per match). The visitors are on an excellent unbeaten run in their last five games, as shown by the 'wddww' sequence, while the hosts ended their last match with a defeat ('wlwwl'). Fortaleza have scored 8 goals in their last five matches while conceding 5, resulting in a +3 goal difference, whereas Botafogo SP have scored 4 and conceded 3. Botafogo SP's higher league position (5th place) may suggest an advantage; however, the lack of detailed home and away statistics combined with Fortaleza's superior current form favor the visitors. I predict a Fortaleza victory, although a draw or an upset from the hosts cannot be ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo SP | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortaleza is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Botafogo SP · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
Botafogo SP scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botafogo SP
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Botafogo SP · 1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo SP | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished Botafogo SP 4:0 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
Botafogo SP score 1.11 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botafogo SP's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Botafogo SP and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo SP have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza?
The statistical background for Botafogo SP vs Fortaleza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.