Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: match statistics
Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Botafogo SP played against Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on September 9, 2026. Venue: Estádio Santa Cruz. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Botafogo SP has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Novorizontino has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Botafogo SP scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.12. Novorizontino scores 1.69 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Botafogo SP's games and 50% of Novorizontino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 58%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novorizontino has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.40 per game. Botafogo SP takes 12.6 shots per game, while Novorizontino takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Botafogo SP leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Novorizontino leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Botafogo SP's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Novorizontino, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novorizontino sit 4th, while Botafogo SP are only 15th, and the visitors’ overall season record stands at 12 wins and just 6 defeats, compared with 8 wins and 11 losses for the hosts. The difference is also reflected in their current form: Novorizontino have collected 10 points from their last five matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 3, whereas Botafogo SP have picked up 4 points and scored only 3 goals. The visitors are also clearly more solid defensively away from home, conceding an average of 0.77 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 46% of games, compared with just 8% of such matches for Botafogo at home. The hosts do create slightly more high-quality chances at home, with an average xG of 1.57 compared with their opponents’ 1.40, but their recent lack of efficiency and Novorizontino’s strong defensive record point towards a narrow away win. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Novorizontino have drawn 38% of their away matches, but the superior trend and defensive stability give them the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 46% of matches and concedes only 0.77 goals per game on average. Botafogo SP has scored just 3 goals in its last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 per game, while its BTTS rate over this period was only 40%. The visitors are also in good defensive form: they have conceded 3 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.6, with an xG against of 1.13. Although the hosts create an average xG of 1.91 at home and produce 5.83 shots on target, their current lack of finishing efficiency and the opponent's solid defense increase the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. Novorizontino's season BTTS rate is just 38%, clearly below the league-wide figure of 47%, further supporting the No Goal scenario for both sides.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals, as this outcome occurred in 83% of Botafogo SP matches and 69% of Novorizontino fixtures. Novorizontino have a very tight defense, conceding an average of just 0.77 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 46% of their appearances, which limits the hosts’ attacking outlook, with Botafogo SP scoring only 3 goals in their last five matches. The visitors are in better offensive form, averaging 1.8 goals and recording an xG of 1.90 across their last five games, but Botafogo SP have allowed just 0.96 xG this season. The combined projection of 2.28 goals is close to the league average of 2.28, yet clearly below the four-goal threshold, making Under 3.5 the value pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Novorizontino win, as Botafogo SP were level at the break in 8 of their 12 matches, while Novorizontino were level after 45 minutes in 7 of 13. The hosts have failed to score before half-time in each of their last five matches, whereas the visitors have conceded no first-half goals during this period and led at the break in 60% of their matches. The full-match form clearly favors the visitors: Novorizontino have won 3 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, while Botafogo SP have lost 3 of 5, scoring only 0.6 goals per match. After the break, the visitors average 1.08 goals, while Botafogo SP concede 0.67, so an even start has a strong chance of turning into a Novorizontino advantage in the latter stages. Additionally, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 46% of their matches this season, further strengthening their prospects of protecting a favorable result after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo SP | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novorizontino is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Botafogo SP · 2.6 pts / game - Novorizontino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 51% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Botafogo SP · 1.69 goals / game - Novorizontino
Novorizontino is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Botafogo SP · 0.88 goals / game - Novorizontino
Botafogo SP scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 games), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 games).
Novorizontino scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 games), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Botafogo SP
Over / Under - Novorizontino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novorizontino is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Botafogo SP · 1.5 pts / game - Novorizontino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo SP | Liga | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.23 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 42% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 31% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Botafogo SP's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Novorizontino. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
The Serie B match finished Botafogo SP 1:3 Novorizontino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo SP and Novorizontino?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0, Novorizontino won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
Botafogo SP score 1.12 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.69. The Serie B average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botafogo SP's matches and 50% of Novorizontino's.
What form are Botafogo SP and Novorizontino in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo SP have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Novorizontino 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo SP vs Novorizontino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.