Botafogo vs Santos: match statistics
Botafogo vs Santos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botafogo play Santos in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Botafogo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Santos: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botafogo scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Santos scores 1.42 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botafogo 83%, Santos 74%. Over 2.5: Botafogo 83%, Santos 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Botafogo has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.33. Botafogo: 12.6 shots per match, Santos: 12.3.
Match halves
Botafogo: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06. Santos: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Botafogo: 76-90+ (10 goals). Santos: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
The favorite is Botafogo; I back the home win (1). Botafogo averages 2.14 goals per home match and records 5.14 shots on target, whereas Santos averages 1.38 goals and 3.38 shots on target away, giving the hosts an advantage of approximately 0.76 goals and 1.76 shots on target per match. The hosts are also more efficient — Botafogo’s conversion rate is 16% versus Santos’s 10%, and average xG are 1.54 vs 1.42; in the last 5 matches Botafogo scored 11 goals compared to Santos’s 10. Form and defense also favor the hosts: Botafogo has averaged 2.0 points per match in the last 5, Santos 1.4; additionally Botafogo conceded 5 goals in the last 5 matches, Santos 9. Santos concedes an average of 2.13 goals away (vs 1.71 conceded at home by Botafogo) and has a negative away goal difference of -6, and both teams rarely finish scoreless (14% vs 13% of matches without goals), so I expect an open game with a clear edge for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botafogo | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Botafogo · 1.2 pts / match - Santos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.42 goals / match - Santos
Santos is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Botafogo · 1.63 goals / match - Santos
Botafogo scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Santos scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botafogo
Over / Under — Santos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botafogo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botafogo
Santos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Botafogo | Liga | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Botafogo 1 - 1 - 0 Santos. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botafogo vs Santos?
The Serie A match finished Botafogo 2:1 Santos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Santos?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1, Santos won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botafogo vs Santos?
Botafogo score 1.83 goals per game on average and Santos 1.42. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Botafogo's matches and 74% of Santos's.
What form are Botafogo and Santos in?
Over the last 5 games Botafogo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Santos 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botafogo vs Santos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.