Botev Plovdiv vs Arda: match statistics
Botev Plovdiv vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Plovdiv play Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 12 May 2026 at 19:15. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Arda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Plovdiv scores 1.36 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Arda scores 1.17 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Plovdiv 50%, Arda 28%. Over 2.5: Botev Plovdiv 58%, Arda 36%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.42. Botev Plovdiv: 12.9 shots per match, Arda: 10.9.
Match halves
Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.78. Arda: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Botev Plovdiv: 46-60 (10 goals). Arda: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win (Botev Plovdiv) because their home xG of 1.73 versus Arda’s 1.24 away xG indicates superior chance creation. Botev averages 14.06 shots and 5.25 on target at home, while Arda records 9 shots and 3.63 on target away, so the hosts generate substantially more attempts and quality opportunities. In the last five matches Botev scored 6 goals and averaged 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), whereas Arda managed just 1 goal, conceded 9 and averaged 0.4 points per game (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), which clearly favors the hosts. Admittedly Arda has a higher clean sheet rate away (38% vs 19%) and better shot accuracy (13% vs 8%), but they also fail to score more often (56% of matches without a goal vs 38% for Botev) and conceded 9 goals in their last five compared to Botev’s 5, which undermines their chances. Taking this into account, I estimate Botev’s win probability at about 65%, draw 20% and an Arda win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Plovdiv | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arda is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 2 pts / match - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botev Plovdiv is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.17 goals / match - Arda
Arda is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 0.94 goals / match - Arda
Botev Plovdiv scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Arda scores in 53% of matches (19 of 36 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botev Plovdiv
Over / Under — Arda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 1.28 pts / match - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Plovdiv
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Plovdiv | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 43% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Botev Plovdiv 1 - 1 - 1 Arda. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Plovdiv vs Arda?
The First League match finished Botev Plovdiv 1:2 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botev Plovdiv and Arda?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 1, Arda won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Plovdiv vs Arda?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.36 goals per game on average and Arda 1.17. The First League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Botev Plovdiv's matches and 28% of Arda's.
What form are Botev Plovdiv and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Plovdiv have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Arda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.