Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More: match statistics
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Botev Plovdiv played Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 1 August 2026. Venue: Stadion Hristo Botev. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Cherno More: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Botev Plovdiv scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Cherno More scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Botev Plovdiv 100%, Cherno More 50%. Over 2.5: Botev Plovdiv 50%, Cherno More 50%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Botev Plovdiv has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.41. Botev Plovdiv: 14.0 shots per match, Cherno More: 9.5.
Match halves
Botev Plovdiv: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Cherno More: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Botev Plovdiv: 76-90+ (2 goals). Cherno More: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botev Plovdiv has a clear advantage in chance creation: average home xG is 2.22 versus Cherno More’s 0.97 xG on the road, with hosts averaging 15 shots (7 on target) compared to visitors’ 5 shots (3 on target). This dominance in possession and shooting (64% possession for Botev vs 53% for Cherno More) translates into more high-quality chances — the hosts scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches, the visitors only 5. However, Botev’s finishing is poor: home goal conversion rate is about 7% versus 20% for Cherno More, so with fewer chances the visitors are more efficient. The visitors’ defense looks worse in the short term, as Cherno More conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches versus 8 conceded by Botev, while both teams have similar points per game over the last 5 (0.8), which increases uncertainty. Considering Botev’s significant xG advantage (2.22 vs 0.97), higher shot volume and the visitors’ weaker defense, I favor a home win, although the low conversion rate may keep the final score close.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign a 70% probability to BTTS - Yes and 30% to No; recommendation: Yes. In the last 5 matches Botev scored 10 and conceded 8 (averages 2.0 and 1.6), while Cherno More scored 5 and conceded 12 (1.0 and 2.4), indicating hosts regularly score and visitors frequently concede. Average xG over the last 5 matches is 2.13 for Botev vs 1.26 for Cherno More, with xG against around 1.29 and 1.30 respectively, so both sides create scoring opportunities. Botev averages 14 shots (6 on target) versus 5 (3 on target) for the visitors, and seasonal shot conversion is 0% for the hosts and 20% for the guests; the league BTTS rate is 64% and both teams have 0% clean sheets, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Despite conflicting season-long BTTS indicators (0% for Botev vs 100% for Cherno More), the combination of last-5 results, xG and shot statistics provides a stronger signal for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined expected goals are approximately 2.01 for Botev Plovdiv and 1.14 for Cherno More, totaling 3.15 goals; these figures come from a weighted xG approach (last 5 matches: xG 2.13 vs 1.26; season: xG 1.84 vs 0.97). Botev clearly generates more chances — averaging 14 shots and 6 on target per match versus Cherno More’s 5 shots and 3 on target — and in the last 5 fixtures Botev scored 10 goals while Cherno More scored 5. Seasonal metrics confirm the offensive profile of this clash: both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, and in the last 5 matches the over 2.5 rate is 80% for Botev and 60% for Cherno More. On this basis the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (recommended); Over 2.5 has significant chances (~70%), while Over 3.5 is less likely and more risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team averages 0.0 goals scored and concedes 3.0 per game this season (seasonScoredAVG_home = 0.0, seasonConcededAVG_home = 3.0), while the away team averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded (seasonScoredAVG_away = 1.0, seasonConcededAVG_away = 1.0), indicating greater defensive stability for the visitors. At half-time the home side averages no goals scored and concedes 1.0 (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0, concededAVGHT_home = 1.0), and in the second half the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals and do not score (conceded_2hg_avg_home = 2.0, scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.0), whereas the away team scores on average 1.0 after the break (scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.0). Although xG favors the home team 1.84 versus 0.97 (xg_for_avg_home = 1.84 vs xg_for_avg_away = 0.97), the home side have a 0% shot conversion rate compared to 20% for the visitors (shot_conversion_rate_home = 0.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_away = 20.0), so the away team are more efficient with fewer chances. Seasonal metrics also highlight clear weakness for the hosts (seasonPPG_home = 0.0, losePercentage_home = 100.0) and a run of draws for the visitors (drawPercentage_away = 100.0), therefore the strongest signal from the data is the away team leading at the break and winning by full-time (HT/FT = 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Botev Plovdiv | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botev Plovdiv is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Botev Plovdiv · 0.5 goals / match - Cherno More
Botev Plovdiv scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Cherno More scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Botev Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Botev Plovdiv
Over / Under — Cherno More
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botev Plovdiv is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Botev Plovdiv · 0.5 pts / match - Cherno More
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Botev Plovdiv - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cherno More - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Botev Plovdiv | Liga | Cherno More | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.47 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Botev Plovdiv 2 - 0 - 2 Cherno More. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
The First League match finished Botev Plovdiv 1:0 Cherno More. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Botev Plovdiv won 2, Cherno More won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.50 goals per game on average and Cherno More 0.50. The First League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Botev Plovdiv's matches and 50% of Cherno More's.
What form are Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More in?
Over the last 5 games Botev Plovdiv have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Cherno More 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.