Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildKópavogsvöllurData current as of October 15, 2026

Breidablik vs Keflavík: match statistics

Breidablik crest
Breidablik
3 : 1half-time 1:0
Keflavík crest
Keflavík

Breidablik vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Breidablik played against Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Kópavogsvöllur. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Breidablik has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Keflavík has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Breidablik scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 1.92. Keflavík scores 1.50 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 3.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Breidablik's games and 75% of Keflavík's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 67%, compared with league averages of 71% for BTTS and 70% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Breidablik has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.65 per game. Breidablik takes 14.1 shots per game, while Keflavík takes 14.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Breidablik leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Keflavík leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Breidablik's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). For Keflavík, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Úrvalsdeild games average 3.87 goals. Both teams score in 71% of games, and 70% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Breidablik have a clear home advantage: they have won 55% of these matches and scored an average of 2.27 goals, while Keflavík have lost 67% of their away games and conceded 2.42 goals per match. The hosts also create better chances—their home xG is 1.85 compared with the visitors’ 1.42 away, while their average shots on target stand at 5.64 and 3.67, respectively. Both teams have been inconsistent recently, but Breidablik have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 for Keflavík; both sides have conceded 10 goals over that period. This makes backing the hosts less certain, particularly as they concede an average of 1.91 goals at home. However, Keflavík’s poor away defense and 8% clean-sheet rate tip the balance in Breidablik’s favor.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has landed in 67% of Breidablik matches and 83% of Keflavík matches, while the figure stands at 80% for each team across their last five games. The hosts score an average of 1.67 goals, while the visitors concede 2.42, strongly supporting a Breidablik goal. Keflavík score an average of 1.33 goals and have an xG of 1.42; the hosts’ defense allows opponents chances worth an average of 1.67 xG. Both teams have conceded 2 goals per game across their last five matches, so despite Breidablik’s home advantage, a goal from the visitors is also likely. The case for BTTS - Yes is further supported by the fact that each team has failed to score in only 8% of its matches.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was surpassed in 75% of Breidablik's matches and 92% of Keflavík's matches. The hosts average 1.67 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.42, giving Breidablik a clear chance to score multiple goals. Keflavík could also get on the scoresheet, as their average xG is 1.42 and Breidablik have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over their last five matches. During the same period, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of both teams' matches, but Over 1.5 requires just two goals and is supported by a stronger signal. The projected total of 3.47 goals points to a goal-heavy game, although uncertainty increases at higher lines.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is Breidablik leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts led at half-time in 42% of matches, while Keflavík were trailing at that point in 50%. In first halves, Breidablik score an average of 0.83 goals, while the visitors concede 1.00 and score just 0.42 themselves. The hosts’ advantage is also evident across full matches: they average 17.5 shots compared with their opponents’ 12.08, while Keflavík concede 2.42 goals per match against Breidablik’s 1.67 goals scored. The visitors’ average of 1.42 goals conceded after the break favors the hosts holding their lead, although their 0.92 goals scored in second halves leaves some risk of an equalizer. Therefore, 1/1 has the highest probability, with a half-time draw followed by a home win as the main alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

66Possession (%)34
BreidablikKeflavík
14Shots23
BreidablikKeflavík
7Shots on target3
BreidablikKeflavík
2.15xG2.19
BreidablikKeflavík
5Corners4
BreidablikKeflavík
105Dangerous attacks73
BreidablikKeflavík
9Fouls7
BreidablikKeflavík
0Cards0
BreidablikKeflavík

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

BreidablikKeflavík
1.96Goals scored / game1.5
BreidablikKeflavík
1.92Goals allowed / game1.83
BreidablikKeflavík
53%Average possession46%
BreidablikKeflavík
4.96Shots on target / game4.79
BreidablikKeflavík

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.13Shots per game14.79
BreidablikKeflavík
4.96Shots on target4.79
BreidablikKeflavík
13.9%Shot conversion10.1%
BreidablikKeflavík
53%Possession46%
BreidablikKeflavík
1.72xG for1.65
BreidablikKeflavík
1.94xG against1.82
BreidablikKeflavík

Shooting quality

Breidablik: AttackingKeflavík: Attacking
BreidablikKeflavík
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Keflavík is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Breidablik · 0.8 pts / game - Keflavík

Breidablik
LLLWL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-9
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 2.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Keflavík
WLLLD
Season result split
33% W21% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-11
1.21 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Breidablik is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.96 goals / game - Breidablik · 1.5 goals / game - Keflavík

Keflavík is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.92 goals / game - Breidablik · 1.83 goals / game - Keflavík

Breidablik scoring profile: very strong

Breidablik scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 games), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 games).

Keflavík scoring profile: very strong

Keflavík scores in 92% of games (22 of 24 games), while Breidablik keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 games).

47Goals scored (season)36
BreidablikKeflavík
46Goals conceded (season)44
BreidablikKeflavík
3.88Average goals per game3.33
BreidablikKeflavík
8Goals scored (last 5)6
BreidablikKeflavík
13Goals conceded (last 5)10
BreidablikKeflavík

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal92%
BreidablikKeflavík
54%2 goals33%
BreidablikKeflavík
38%3 goals17%
BreidablikKeflavík
13%4 goals4%
BreidablikKeflavík

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal79%
BreidablikKeflavík
50%2 goals54%
BreidablikKeflavík
42%3 goals25%
BreidablikKeflavík
21%4 goals13%
BreidablikKeflavík

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

71%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time17%
BreidablikKeflavík
13%BTTS in both halves4%
BreidablikKeflavík
33%Scored in both halves21%
BreidablikKeflavík

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
BreidablikKeflavík
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
BreidablikKeflavík
80%BTTS - last 580%
BreidablikKeflavík

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
BreidablikKeflavík
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
BreidablikKeflavík
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
BreidablikKeflavík

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
BreidablikKeflavík
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
BreidablikKeflavík
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
BreidablikKeflavík

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Keflavík is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Breidablik · 1.33 pts / game - Keflavík

Breidablik - half-time state
33% leading25% draw42% trailing
Keflavík - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.33
BreidablikKeflavík
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.63
BreidablikKeflavík
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
BreidablikKeflavík
1.88Average goals (1st half)1.33
BreidablikKeflavík
38%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BreidablikKeflavík
50%No goal before half-time50%
BreidablikKeflavík

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per game (2nd half)1.25
BreidablikKeflavík
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
BreidablikKeflavík
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
BreidablikKeflavík
2Average goals (2nd half)2
BreidablikKeflavík
46%Clean sheet after half-time33%
BreidablikKeflavík
33%No goal after half-time38%
BreidablikKeflavík

Breidablik - second-half results

38% W29% D33% L
30
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Keflavík - second-half results

29% W38% D33% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Breidablik - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game1.80.8
Average goals per game2.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Keflavík - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Breidablik
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
11
31-45
12
6
46-60
5
10
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Keflavík
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
9
5
31-45
8
14
46-60
7
2
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.60
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Breidablik

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Keflavík

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

BreidablikLigaKeflavík
Average goals per game• 3.883.87▼ 3.33
Both teams scored• 71%71%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 71%70%▼ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 21%16%▲ 21%
Goal before half-time• 83%82%• 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 79%86%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.87
Average goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / game
1.74
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
16%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BreidablikSubstitutionOn: David IngvarssonOff: Kristinn Steindorsson
  2. BreidablikSubstitutionOn: Birkir ÞorsteinssonOff: Jónatan Gudni Arnarsson
  3. BreidablikSubstitutionOn: Gabriel SnaerOff: Viktor Karl Einarsson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Breidablik's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Keflavík. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Breidablik vs Keflavík?

The Úrvalsdeild match finished Breidablik 3:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Breidablik and Keflavík?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Breidablik won 1, Keflavík won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Breidablik vs Keflavík?

Breidablik score 1.96 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Breidablik's matches and 75% of Keflavík's.

What form are Breidablik and Keflavík in?

Over the last 5 games Breidablik have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Keflavík 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Breidablik vs Keflavík?

The statistical background for Breidablik vs Keflavík — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.