Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade KicukiroData current as of November 03, 2026

Bugesera vs Amagaju: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Bugesera vs Amagaju: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bugesera plays Amagaju in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Venue: Stade Kicukiro.

Recent form

Bugesera has 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Amagaju has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bugesera scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Amagaju scores 1.29 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 1.82 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Bugesera's games and 43% of Amagaju's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 57%, compared with league averages of 29% for BTTS and 24% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Amagaju has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.41 per game. Bugesera takes 10.0 shots per game, while Amagaju takes 10.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Bugesera leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Amagaju leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Amagaju, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.82 goals. Both teams score in 29% of games, and 24% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game1.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.5Goals allowed / game1.14
BugeseraAmagaju
55%Average possession48%
BugeseraAmagaju
3.5Shots on target / game3.29
BugeseraAmagaju

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10Shots per game10.43
BugeseraAmagaju
3.5Shots on target3.29
BugeseraAmagaju
10%Shot conversion12.3%
BugeseraAmagaju
55%Possession48%
BugeseraAmagaju
1.41xG for1.57
BugeseraAmagaju
1.42xG against1.33
BugeseraAmagaju

Shooting quality

Bugesera: BalancedAmagaju: Balanced
BugeseraAmagaju
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bugesera is 88% better for: last-5 form.

1.5 pts / game - Bugesera · 0.8 pts / game - Amagaju

Bugesera
LWWL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-2
1.50 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Amagaju
DLWLL
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Amagaju is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Bugesera · 1.29 goals / game - Amagaju

Bugesera is 128% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Bugesera · 1.14 goals / game - Amagaju

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while Amagaju keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Amagaju scoring profile: mixed

Amagaju scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).

4Goals scored (season)9
BugeseraAmagaju
2Goals conceded (season)8
BugeseraAmagaju
1.5Average goals per game2.43
BugeseraAmagaju
4Goals scored (last 5)7
BugeseraAmagaju
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
BugeseraAmagaju

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal71%
BugeseraAmagaju
50%2 goals29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%3 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%4 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%2 goals43%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%3 goals14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraAmagaju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraAmagaju
25%Scored in both halves0%
BugeseraAmagaju

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraAmagaju

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BugeseraAmagaju

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
BugeseraAmagaju
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
BugeseraAmagaju

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Bugesera · 0.71 pts / game - Amagaju

Bugesera - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Amagaju - half-time state
0% leading71% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)0.71
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
BugeseraAmagaju
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.86
BugeseraAmagaju
75%Clean sheet before half-time43%
BugeseraAmagaju
75%No goal before half-time71%
BugeseraAmagaju

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)1.29
BugeseraAmagaju
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1
BugeseraAmagaju
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
BugeseraAmagaju
1Average goals (2nd half)1.57
BugeseraAmagaju
75%Clean sheet after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju
50%No goal after half-time57%
BugeseraAmagaju

Bugesera - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Amagaju - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.251.75
Goals scored / game0.30.8
Goals allowed / game0.30.3
Average goals per game0.51.0
1 goal50%75%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal75%50%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Amagaju - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Amagaju
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.96
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
22%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.92
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Amagaju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAmagaju
Average goals per game▼ 1.501.82▲ 2.43
Both teams scored▼ 0%29%▲ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%24%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 50%43%• 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%61%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%65%▲ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.82
Average goals per game
29%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
43%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / game
0.80
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Bugesera's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Amagaju. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Bugesera
0 : 0
Amagaju
Amagaju
0 : 0
Bugesera

FAQ

When do Bugesera and Amagaju play?

Bugesera face Amagaju on November 4, 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Kicukiro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bugesera and Amagaju?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 0, Amagaju won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Amagaju?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Amagaju 1.29. The National Soccer League average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Bugesera's matches and 43% of Amagaju's.

What form are Bugesera and Amagaju in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Amagaju 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Amagaju?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.