Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of October 15, 2026

Bugesera vs APR: match statistics

Bugesera crest
Bugesera
2 : 2half-time 1:2
APR crest
APR
125%(0.00)
X30%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

APR is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat. The visiting side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five outings and winning four of them. Bugesera, despite decent home form (a 50% win rate at home), are only 12th in the league and have significantly weaker offensive stats (0.88 goals per match at home compared to APR's 1.33 away). APR also dominates in terms of possession (56% vs. 47%) and goal conversion, which, combined with a solid defense (44% clean sheets away), gives them a distinct advantage. APR's high percentage of away draws (44%) suggests a cautious approach, but their current form and superior quality point towards an away victory.

Bugesera vs APR: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bugesera played against APR in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

Bugesera has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. APR has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Bugesera scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.00. APR scores 1.41 and allows 0.59. Games in this league average 2.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Bugesera's games and 47% of APR's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 47%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

APR has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 0.95 per game. Bugesera takes 5.5 shots per game, while APR takes 7.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Bugesera leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. APR leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.59 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For APR, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 2.04 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

APR is the clear favorite for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and just 1 defeat. The visiting side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five outings and winning four of them. Bugesera, despite decent home form (a 50% win rate at home), are only 12th in the league and have significantly weaker offensive stats (0.88 goals per match at home compared to APR's 1.33 away). APR also dominates in terms of possession (56% vs. 47%) and goal conversion, which, combined with a solid defense (44% clean sheets away), gives them a distinct advantage. APR's high percentage of away draws (44%) suggests a cautious approach, but their current form and superior quality point towards an away victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
BugeseraAPR
5Shots8
BugeseraAPR
2Shots on target2
BugeseraAPR
0.76xG1.14
BugeseraAPR
4Corners14
BugeseraAPR
40Dangerous attacks67
BugeseraAPR
-1Fouls-1
BugeseraAPR
-1Cards-1
BugeseraAPR

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.82Goals scored / game1.41
BugeseraAPR
1Goals allowed / game0.59
BugeseraAPR
42%Average possession54%
BugeseraAPR
2.18Shots on target / game2.82
BugeseraAPR

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5.47Shots per game7.82
BugeseraAPR
2.18Shots on target2.82
BugeseraAPR
15.1%Shot conversion18%
BugeseraAPR
42%Possession54%
BugeseraAPR
0.95xG for1.21
BugeseraAPR
1.42xG against0.92
BugeseraAPR

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingAPR: Efficient finishing
BugeseraAPR
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

APR is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Bugesera · 2.6 pts / game - APR

Bugesera
WDWLW
Season result split
29% W29% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-7
1.18 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
APR
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
59% W35% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-1
2.12 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-1
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 0.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

APR is 72% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Bugesera · 1.41 goals / game - APR

APR is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Bugesera · 0.59 goals / game - APR

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 games), while APR keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 games).

APR scoring profile: strong

APR scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 games), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 games).

14Goals scored (season)24
BugeseraAPR
17Goals conceded (season)10
BugeseraAPR
1.82Average goals per game2
BugeseraAPR
6Goals scored (last 5)8
BugeseraAPR
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
BugeseraAPR

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal76%
BugeseraAPR
18%2 goals53%
BugeseraAPR
0%3 goals12%
BugeseraAPR
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraAPR

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal47%
BugeseraAPR
29%2 goals6%
BugeseraAPR
12%3 goals6%
BugeseraAPR
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraAPR

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time12%
BugeseraAPR
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraAPR
12%Scored in both halves29%
BugeseraAPR

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
BugeseraAPR
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
BugeseraAPR
60%BTTS - last 540%
BugeseraAPR

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
BugeseraAPR
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
BugeseraAPR
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BugeseraAPR

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
BugeseraAPR
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
BugeseraAPR
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BugeseraAPR

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

APR is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.82 pts / game - APR

Bugesera - half-time state
6% leading53% draw41% trailing
APR - half-time state
47% leading41% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per game (1st half)1.82
BugeseraAPR
0.18Goals scored (1st half)0.82
BugeseraAPR
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
BugeseraAPR
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.18
BugeseraAPR
53%Clean sheet before half-time76%
BugeseraAPR
82%No goal before half-time41%
BugeseraAPR

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per game (2nd half)1.65
BugeseraAPR
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
BugeseraAPR
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.24
BugeseraAPR
0.94Average goals (2nd half)0.82
BugeseraAPR
76%Clean sheet after half-time76%
BugeseraAPR
41%No goal after half-time53%
BugeseraAPR

Bugesera - second-half results

41% W47% D12% L
12
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding483%

Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

APR - second-half results

41% W41% D18% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.20
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
APR - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
7
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

APR
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
8
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
4
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.91
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

APR

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
142%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaAPR
Average goals per game▼ 1.822.04• 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 47%40%▲ 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 41%35%▲ 47%
Clean sheets▲ 41%37%▲ 53%
Goal before half-time▼ 53%63%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 65%67%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.04
Average goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / game
0.99
Away goals / game
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Djibril Cheick Ouattara⚽ 1
—Mamadou Sy⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. APRGoalMamadou Sy
  2. APRGoalDjibril Cheick Ouattara

Head-to-head

Record from Bugesera's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against APR. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs APR?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:2 APR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs APR?

Bugesera score 0.82 goals per game on average and APR 1.41. The National Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Bugesera's matches and 47% of APR's.

What form are Bugesera and APR in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and APR 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs APR?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs APR — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.