Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: match statistics

Bugesera crest
Bugesera
2 : 1half-time 0:1
Kiyovu Sports crest
Kiyovu Sports
130%(0.00)
X30%(0.00)
240%(0.00)

Kiyovu Sports displays significantly better away form with 56% wins and an impressive goal difference (+7) in matches on the road. The hosts, Bugesera, occupy only 10th place in the table and win just 42% of their home encounters, conceding nearly a goal per game on average. A significant advantage for the visitors lies in possession (53% vs 48%) and higher shots on target efficiency (3.38 vs 2.0). Kiyovu Sports also boasts a superior xG record (1.15 vs 0.89), indicating better chance creation. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for hosts vs 1.4 PPG for visitors) is balanced, but Kiyovu's solid defense (44% clean sheets away) could prove pivotal. Considering all statistical parameters, the visitors are the favorites for this match, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Kiyovu's tendency to split points (22% draws away).

Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play Kiyovu Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kiyovu Sports: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Kiyovu Sports scores 1.00 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Kiyovu Sports 35%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Kiyovu Sports 26%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Kiyovu Sports has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.91. Bugesera: 5.2 shots per match, Kiyovu Sports: 5.8.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.59. Kiyovu Sports: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Kiyovu Sports: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Kiyovu Sports displays significantly better away form with 56% wins and an impressive goal difference (+7) in matches on the road. The hosts, Bugesera, occupy only 10th place in the table and win just 42% of their home encounters, conceding nearly a goal per game on average. A significant advantage for the visitors lies in possession (53% vs 48%) and higher shots on target efficiency (3.38 vs 2.0). Kiyovu Sports also boasts a superior xG record (1.15 vs 0.89), indicating better chance creation. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for hosts vs 1.4 PPG for visitors) is balanced, but Kiyovu's solid defense (44% clean sheets away) could prove pivotal. Considering all statistical parameters, the visitors are the favorites for this match, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Kiyovu's tendency to split points (22% draws away).

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
7Shots6
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
3Shots on target2
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.92xG0.98
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
5Corners8
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
35Dangerous attacks63
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
-1Fouls-1
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
-1Cards-1
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1Goals scored / match1
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1.15Goals conceded / match0.62
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
43%Average possession45%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1.85Shots on target / match2.03
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match5.82
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1.85Shots on target2.03
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
19.3%Shot conversion17.2%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
43%Possession45%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.91xG for1.18
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1.28xG against1.08
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingKiyovu Sports: Counter-attacking
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.49

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kiyovu Sports is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.8 pts / match - Kiyovu Sports

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Kiyovu Sports
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W41% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-14-7
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-6-3
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kiyovu Sports is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Bugesera · 0.62 goals / match - Kiyovu Sports

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Kiyovu Sports keeps a clean sheet in 53% (18 of 34 matches).

Kiyovu Sports scoring profile: mixed

Kiyovu Sports scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)34
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
39Goals conceded (season)21
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
2.15Average goals in match1.62
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
5Goals scored (last 5)4
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
10Goals conceded (last 5)2
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal59%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
29%2 goals21%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
6%3 goals15%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0%4 goals6%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal47%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
38%2 goals15%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
12%3 goals0%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
3%4 goals0%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
18%Scored in both halves15%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
40%BTTS - last 540%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kiyovu Sports is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.09 pts / match - Kiyovu Sports

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Kiyovu Sports - half-time state
15% leading65% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.09
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.26
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1Average goals (1st half)0.62
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
53%Clean sheet before half-time71%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
71%No goal before half-time76%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.79
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.26
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
65%Clean sheet after half-time79%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports
50%No goal after half-time50%
BugeseraKiyovu Sports

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kiyovu Sports - second-half results

44% W47% R9% P
37
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
61
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kiyovu Sports - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Kiyovu Sports
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
4
16-30
6
7
31-45
4
0
46-60
10
5
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Kiyovu Sports

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaKiyovu Sports
Average goals in match 2.152.12 1.62
Both teams scored 41%46% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 26%
Clean sheets 38%34% 53%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 44%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 1 - 0 Kiyovu Sports. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Kiyovu Sports
0 : 0
Bugesera

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 2:1 Kiyovu Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kiyovu Sports 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bugesera's matches and 35% of Kiyovu Sports's.

What form are Bugesera and Kiyovu Sports in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kiyovu Sports 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bugesera vs Kiyovu Sports: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.