Bugesera vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bugesera play Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Bugesera: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mukura: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bugesera scores 1.00 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Mukura scores 1.06 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bugesera 41%, Mukura 56%. Over 2.5: Bugesera 47%, Mukura 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Mukura has higher xG: 1.09 vs 0.91. Bugesera: 5.2 shots per match, Mukura: 5.7.

Match halves

Bugesera: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.59. Mukura: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.68.

Goals by minute

Bugesera: 61-75 (8 goals). Mukura: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
BugeseraMukura
11Shots14
BugeseraMukura
4Shots on target5
BugeseraMukura
1.26xG1.67
BugeseraMukura
1Corners9
BugeseraMukura
39Dangerous attacks60
BugeseraMukura
15Fouls13
BugeseraMukura
0Cards0
BugeseraMukura

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.06
BugeseraMukura
1.15Goals conceded / match1.12
BugeseraMukura
43%Average possession40%
BugeseraMukura
1.85Shots on target / match1.76
BugeseraMukura

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.18Shots per match5.74
BugeseraMukura
1.85Shots on target1.76
BugeseraMukura
19.3%Shot conversion18.5%
BugeseraMukura
43%Possession40%
BugeseraMukura
0.91xG for1.09
BugeseraMukura
1.28xG against1.06
BugeseraMukura

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingMukura: Counter-attacking
BugeseraMukura
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.540.60

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mukura is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.2 pts / match - Mukura

Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-8-14
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.69Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Mukura
DWDLD
Season result split
35% W32% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-11-11
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mukura is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bugesera · 1.06 goals / match - Mukura

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

Mukura scoring profile: strong

Mukura scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

34Goals scored (season)36
BugeseraMukura
39Goals conceded (season)38
BugeseraMukura
2.15Average goals in match2.18
BugeseraMukura
5Goals scored (last 5)6
BugeseraMukura
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
BugeseraMukura

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal79%
BugeseraMukura
29%2 goals24%
BugeseraMukura
6%3 goals3%
BugeseraMukura
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal68%
BugeseraMukura
38%2 goals32%
BugeseraMukura
12%3 goals12%
BugeseraMukura
3%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time12%
BugeseraMukura
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraMukura
18%Scored in both halves12%
BugeseraMukura

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
BugeseraMukura
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
BugeseraMukura
40%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraMukura

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
BugeseraMukura
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
BugeseraMukura
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
BugeseraMukura

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
BugeseraMukura
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
BugeseraMukura
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
BugeseraMukura

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mukura is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.94 pts / match - Bugesera · 1.15 pts / match - Mukura

Bugesera - half-time state
15% leading50% draw35% trailing
Mukura - half-time state
24% leading44% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.94Points per match (1st half)1.15
BugeseraMukura
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.38
BugeseraMukura
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
BugeseraMukura
1Average goals (1st half)0.88
BugeseraMukura
53%Clean sheet before half-time59%
BugeseraMukura
71%No goal before half-time68%
BugeseraMukura

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.44
BugeseraMukura
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
BugeseraMukura
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
BugeseraMukura
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.29
BugeseraMukura
65%Clean sheet after half-time56%
BugeseraMukura
50%No goal after half-time41%
BugeseraMukura

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W32% R29% P
32
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mukura - second-half results

32% W47% R21% P
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mukura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
4
6
16-30
3
13
31-45
5
4
46-60
8
4
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
6
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
4
46-60
11
9
61-75
6
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+85%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaMukura
Average goals in match 2.152.12 2.18
Both teams scored 41%46% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 38%
Clean sheets 38%34% 32%
Goal before half-time 59%61% 62%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bugesera 0 - 1 - 0 Mukura. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Mukura?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 0:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Mukura?

Bugesera score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.06. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bugesera's matches and 56% of Mukura's.

What form are Bugesera and Mukura in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mukura 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Mukura?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs Mukura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.