Bugesera vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bugesera played against Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on December 6, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Bugesera has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Mukura has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Bugesera scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 0.90. Mukura scores 0.78 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Bugesera's games and 44% of Mukura's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 11%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 25% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 0.88 per game. Bugesera takes 4.4 shots per game, while Mukura takes 4.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Bugesera leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Mukura leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Mukura, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 25% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
BugeseraMukura
11Shots14
BugeseraMukura
4Shots on target5
BugeseraMukura
1.26xG1.67
BugeseraMukura
1Corners9
BugeseraMukura
39Dangerous attacks60
BugeseraMukura
15Fouls13
BugeseraMukura
0Cards0
BugeseraMukura

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.7Goals scored / game0.78
BugeseraMukura
0.9Goals allowed / game0.89
BugeseraMukura
41%Average possession41%
BugeseraMukura
1.6Shots on target / game0.89
BugeseraMukura

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

4.4Shots per game4.44
BugeseraMukura
1.6Shots on target0.89
BugeseraMukura
15.9%Shot conversion17.5%
BugeseraMukura
41%Possession41%
BugeseraMukura
0.88xG for0.88
BugeseraMukura
1.01xG against0.81
BugeseraMukura

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingMukura: Counter-attacking
BugeseraMukura
Accuracy (shots on target)36%20%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.88

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mukura is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Bugesera · 1 pts / game - Mukura

Bugesera
LDLWL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Mukura
WDLLD
Season result split
22% W44% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mukura is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

0.7 goals / game - Bugesera · 0.78 goals / game - Mukura

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 meczów), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).

Mukura scoring profile: mixed

Mukura scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 meczów).

7Goals scored (season)7
BugeseraMukura
9Goals conceded (season)8
BugeseraMukura
1.6Average goals per game1.67
BugeseraMukura
5Goals scored (last 5)5
BugeseraMukura
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
BugeseraMukura

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal67%
BugeseraMukura
10%2 goals11%
BugeseraMukura
0%3 goals0%
BugeseraMukura
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal67%
BugeseraMukura
30%2 goals22%
BugeseraMukura
10%3 goals0%
BugeseraMukura
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraMukura

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time11%
BugeseraMukura
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraMukura
10%Scored in both halves11%
BugeseraMukura

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS11%
BugeseraMukura
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BugeseraMukura
60%BTTS - last 560%
BugeseraMukura

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
BugeseraMukura
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
BugeseraMukura

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time56%
BugeseraMukura
10%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
BugeseraMukura
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BugeseraMukura

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mukura is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.33 pts / game - Mukura

Bugesera - half-time state
10% leading50% draw40% trailing
Mukura - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)1.33
BugeseraMukura
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
1Average goals (1st half)0.89
BugeseraMukura
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
80%No goal before half-time56%
BugeseraMukura

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per game (2nd half)1.22
BugeseraMukura
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
BugeseraMukura
0.1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
BugeseraMukura
0.6Average goals (2nd half)0.78
BugeseraMukura
90%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BugeseraMukura
50%No goal after half-time67%
BugeseraMukura

Bugesera - second-half results

40% W60% R0% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mukura - second-half results

22% W56% R22% P
12
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.402.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game1.40.0
Average goals per game1.60.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-6+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mukura - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
4
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaMukura
Average goals per game 1.601.80 1.67
Both teams scored 40%39% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%25% 11%
Clean sheets 50%38% 33%
Goal before half-time 50%53% 67%
Goal after half-time 50%69% 56%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.86
Home goals / game
0.94
Away goals / game
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
1%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Mukura?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 0:1 Mukura. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Mukura?

Bugesera score 0.70 goals per game on average and Mukura 0.78. The National Soccer League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Bugesera's matches and 44% of Mukura's.

What form are Bugesera and Mukura in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mukura 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Mukura?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs Mukura — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.