Bugesera vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Bugesera played against Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on December 23, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Bugesera has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Police has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Bugesera scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.00. Police scores 1.00 and allows 0.38. Games in this league average 1.88 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Bugesera's games and 38% of Police's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 23%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Police has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 0.99 per game. Bugesera takes 5.7 shots per game, while Police takes 5.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Bugesera leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Police leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.46 after halftime.

When the teams score

Bugesera's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Police, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.88 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

47Possession (%)53
BugeseraPolice
2Shots5
BugeseraPolice
2Shots on target0
BugeseraPolice
0.58xG0.77
BugeseraPolice
2Corners6
BugeseraPolice
41Dangerous attacks61
BugeseraPolice
6Fouls17
BugeseraPolice
0Cards0
BugeseraPolice

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.71Goals scored / game1
BugeseraPolice
1Goals allowed / game0.38
BugeseraPolice
42%Average possession52%
BugeseraPolice
2Shots on target / game2.69
BugeseraPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5.71Shots per game5.92
BugeseraPolice
2Shots on target2.69
BugeseraPolice
12.5%Shot conversion16.9%
BugeseraPolice
42%Possession52%
BugeseraPolice
0.99xG for1.13
BugeseraPolice
1.33xG against0.73
BugeseraPolice

Shooting quality

Bugesera: Counter-attackingPolice: Efficient finishing
BugeseraPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)35%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Police is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.8 pts / game - Police

Bugesera
LLLWD
Season result split
21% W36% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Police
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W38% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-0
2.23 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 0.73Opponent xG: 0.52BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Police is 41% better for: goals scored per game.

0.71 goals / game - Bugesera · 1 goals / game - Police

Police is 163% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Bugesera · 0.38 goals / game - Police

Bugesera scoring profile: more difficult

Bugesera scores in 57% of games (8 of 14 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 62% (8 of 13 meczów).

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).

10Goals scored (season)13
BugeseraPolice
14Goals conceded (season)5
BugeseraPolice
1.71Average goals per game1.38
BugeseraPolice
4Goals scored (last 5)3
BugeseraPolice
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
BugeseraPolice

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal77%
BugeseraPolice
14%2 goals23%
BugeseraPolice
0%3 goals0%
BugeseraPolice
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraPolice

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal38%
BugeseraPolice
29%2 goals0%
BugeseraPolice
14%3 goals0%
BugeseraPolice
0%4 goals0%
BugeseraPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time8%
BugeseraPolice
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BugeseraPolice
14%Scored in both halves23%
BugeseraPolice

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
BugeseraPolice
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BugeseraPolice
60%BTTS - last 520%
BugeseraPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
BugeseraPolice
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
BugeseraPolice
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BugeseraPolice

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
BugeseraPolice
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
BugeseraPolice
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BugeseraPolice

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 143% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.79 pts / game - Bugesera · 1.92 pts / game - Police

Bugesera - half-time state
7% leading57% draw36% trailing
Police - half-time state
46% leading54% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per game (1st half)1.92
BugeseraPolice
0.21Goals scored (1st half)0.54
BugeseraPolice
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.08
BugeseraPolice
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.62
BugeseraPolice
57%Clean sheet before half-time92%
BugeseraPolice
79%No goal before half-time46%
BugeseraPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per game (2nd half)1.46
BugeseraPolice
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.46
BugeseraPolice
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.31
BugeseraPolice
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.77
BugeseraPolice
79%Clean sheet after half-time69%
BugeseraPolice
50%No goal after half-time54%
BugeseraPolice

Bugesera - second-half results

36% W50% R14% P
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Police - second-half results

31% W54% R15% P
25
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Police - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.2
Average goals per game0.40.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
5
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Police
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
40%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

BugeseraLigaPolice
Average goals per game 1.711.88 1.38
Both teams scored 43%38% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%30% 23%
Clean sheets 43%38% 62%
Goal before half-time 50%60% 54%
Goal after half-time 57%66% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.88
Average goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.96
Home goals / game
0.92
Away goals / game
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bugesera vs Police?

The National Soccer League match finished Bugesera 1:0 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bugesera vs Police?

Bugesera score 0.71 goals per game on average and Police 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bugesera's matches and 38% of Police's.

What form are Bugesera and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Bugesera have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Police 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bugesera vs Police?

The statistical background for Bugesera vs Police — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.