BUL vs Calvary: match statistics
BUL clearly outperforms Calvary in every statistical aspect. The hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0) and win 33% of home matches, while Calvary has not achieved a single away victory all season (0% wins). The visitors lose as many as 89% of away matches and fail to score in 78% of games. Calvary has a catastrophic away goal difference (-15), averaging only 0.33 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. BUL's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.54 vs 1.18), shot efficiency, and possession further confirms their decisive superiority. Form over the last five matches also argues in favor of the hosts, who earned 1.4 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Calvary.
BUL vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
BUL played against Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
BUL has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Calvary has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
BUL scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.06. Calvary scores 0.35 and allows 1.53. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of BUL's games and 24% of Calvary's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 24%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BUL has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.26 per game. BUL takes 9.7 shots per game, while Calvary takes 4.4.
First-half and second-half trends
BUL leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Calvary leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
BUL's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Calvary, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
BUL clearly outperforms Calvary in every statistical aspect. The hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0) and win 33% of home matches, while Calvary has not achieved a single away victory all season (0% wins). The visitors lose as many as 89% of away matches and fail to score in 78% of games. Calvary has a catastrophic away goal difference (-15), averaging only 0.33 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. BUL's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.54 vs 1.18), shot efficiency, and possession further confirms their decisive superiority. Form over the last five matches also argues in favor of the hosts, who earned 1.4 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Calvary.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| BUL | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BUL is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - BUL · 0.4 pts / game - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 186% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - BUL · 0.35 goals / game - Calvary
BUL is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - BUL · 1.53 goals / game - Calvary
BUL scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Calvary scores in 24% of games (4 of 17 meczów), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - BUL
Over / Under - Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 183% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - BUL · 0.53 pts / game - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BUL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Calvary - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
BUL
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BUL | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.06 | 2.15 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 24% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 36% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 37% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 60% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from BUL's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Calvary. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of BUL vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 5:1 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs Calvary?
BUL score 1.00 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.35. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 50% of BUL's matches and 24% of Calvary's.
What form are BUL and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games BUL have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Calvary 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs Calvary?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for BUL vs Calvary: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.