BUL vs Calvary: match statistics
BUL clearly outperforms Calvary in every statistical aspect. The hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0) and win 33% of home matches, while Calvary has not achieved a single away victory all season (0% wins). The visitors lose as many as 89% of away matches and fail to score in 78% of games. Calvary has a catastrophic away goal difference (-15), averaging only 0.33 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. BUL's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.54 vs 1.18), shot efficiency, and possession further confirms their decisive superiority. Form over the last five matches also argues in favor of the hosts, who earned 1.4 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Calvary.
BUL vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
BUL play Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 6 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
BUL: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
BUL scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: BUL 43%, Calvary 21%. Over 2.5: BUL 33%, Calvary 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
BUL has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.18. BUL: 10.7 shots per match, Calvary: 3.6.
Match halves
BUL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.40. Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
BUL: 31-45+ (12 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
BUL clearly outperforms Calvary in every statistical aspect. The hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0) and win 33% of home matches, while Calvary has not achieved a single away victory all season (0% wins). The visitors lose as many as 89% of away matches and fail to score in 78% of games. Calvary has a catastrophic away goal difference (-15), averaging only 0.33 goals scored and conceding 2 goals per match. BUL's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.54 vs 1.18), shot efficiency, and possession further confirms their decisive superiority. Form over the last five matches also argues in favor of the hosts, who earned 1.4 points per match compared to just 0.4 points for Calvary.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| BUL | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calvary is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - BUL · 1.6 pts / match - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - BUL · 0.48 goals / match - Calvary
BUL is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - BUL · 1.24 goals / match - Calvary
BUL scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — BUL
Over / Under — Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - BUL · 0.76 pts / match - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
BUL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
BUL
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| BUL | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.10 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 38% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: BUL 1 - 0 - 0 Calvary. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of BUL vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished BUL 5:1 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before BUL vs Calvary?
BUL score 1.00 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.48. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of BUL's matches and 21% of Calvary's.
What form are BUL and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games BUL have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Calvary 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for BUL vs Calvary?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for BUL vs Calvary: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.