England - EFL League OnePirelli StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: match statistics

Burton Albion crest
Burton Albion
4 : 1half-time 2:1
AFC Wimbledon crest
AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Burton Albion played against AFC Wimbledon in EFL League One (England). The game was played on September 2, 2026. Venue: Pirelli Stadium. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Burton Albion has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. AFC Wimbledon has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.

Scoring records

Burton Albion scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. AFC Wimbledon scores 0.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Burton Albion's games and 0% of AFC Wimbledon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 33%, compared with league averages of 67% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AFC Wimbledon has the higher season xG average, 1.11 to 0.97 per game. Burton Albion takes 8.3 shots per game, while AFC Wimbledon takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Burton Albion leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. AFC Wimbledon leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Burton Albion's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For AFC Wimbledon, it is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 67% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Burton Albion sit higher in the table in 5th place, while AFC Wimbledon are 23rd, having averaged 1.2 points per game over their last five matches compared with the opponents’ 0.6. The hosts have scored 7 goals during this period, whereas the visitors have managed just 2 and remain winless in their last five appearances. Away from home, Wimbledon are yet to score, averaging only 1 shot on target per match and losing 100% of such fixtures, while conceding an average of 3 goals. Burton have drawn all of their home matches so far, but they create chances worth 1.08 xG while allowing just 0.81 xG at their own end, giving them noticeably greater control over chance quality. A draw is a realistic possibility given Burton’s three draws in their last five matches, but the visitors’ poor finishing and vulnerable defense point towards a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is AFC Wimbledon's poor finishing: they have scored only 2 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and have yet to score in the current league data. Burton have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season, while Wimbledon have not avoided a scoreless game even once. The hosts have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals over their last five league fixtures, but their defense allowed opponents an xG of 1.39, which is not high enough to offset the visitors' attacking problems. Burton have the better recent attacking potential, with an xG of 1.58 compared with their opponents' 1.10, so the more likely scenario is that the hosts will score while at least one team fails to find the net. Although the league-wide BTTS average is a high 71%, only 40% of Wimbledon's last five matches featured goals from both teams, which further supports the BTTS - No pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Burton averaged 1.4 goals scored over their last five matches, while AFC Wimbledon conceded 1.6, clearly strengthening the case for a home goal. Chance quality also favors Burton: their average xG over the last five games is 1.58, while the opposition allowed an average of 1.64 xG. Wimbledon scored only 0.4 goals per match, but Burton’s defense conceded an average of 1.4, giving the visitors a realistic chance to add a goal. The projected total of 2.56 goals is close to the league average of 2.63, while the Over 1.5 line offers the safest edge based on the expected course of the match.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Burton Albion have averaged 1.4 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.4 for AFC Wimbledon, while the visitors have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game. The hosts led at the break in 40% of these fixtures, whereas Wimbledon were behind at half-time in 40%, strengthening the scenario of Burton taking the lead before the interval. Burton averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for Wimbledon, while their first-half goal differences stood at +1 and -3, respectively. The visitors have failed to win any of their last five matches and have scored just 0.2 goals per game after the break, so a Burton lead should be more likely to hold until the final whistle than to be overturned in a turnaround.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
10Shots19
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
5Shots on target4
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.12xG1.9
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Corners7
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
18Dangerous attacks59
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
8Fouls16
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1Cards1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Goals scored / game0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Goals allowed / game1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
39%Average possession47%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
3Shots on target / game1.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.33Shots per game9.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
3Shots on target1.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
16%Shot conversion3.6%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
39%Possession47%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.97xG for1.11
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.46xG against1.36
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Shooting quality

Burton Albion: Counter-attackingAFC Wimbledon: Balanced
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
Accuracy (shots on target)36%18%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Burton Albion
DWL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 67%
AFC Wimbledon
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Burton Albion is 303% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Burton Albion · 0.33 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.33 goals / game - Burton Albion · 1 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion scoring profile: strong

Burton Albion scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

AFC Wimbledon scoring profile: strong

AFC Wimbledon scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 games), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals conceded (season)3
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
2.67Average goals per game1.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals scored (last 5)1
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%2 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%3 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%4 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%2 goals33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%3 goals33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%4 goals0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Scored in both halves0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
100%BTTS - last 50%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Burton Albion is 248% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / game - Burton Albion · 0.67 pts / game - AFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
AFC Wimbledon - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per game (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1Goals scored (1st half)0
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%No goal before half-time100%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)1.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
33%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
67%No goal after half-time67%
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon

Burton Albion - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AFC Wimbledon - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Burton Albion - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.330.67
Goals scored / game1.00.3
Goals allowed / game0.31.0
Average goals per game1.31.3
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
AFC Wimbledon - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.671.33
Goals scored / game0.00.3
Goals allowed / game0.70.3
Average goals per game0.70.7
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Burton Albion
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

AFC Wimbledon
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
67%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Burton Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AFC Wimbledon

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
24%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Burton AlbionLigaAFC Wimbledon
Average goals per game▼ 2.672.98▼ 1.33
Both teams scored▲ 100%67%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%57%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%60%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%83%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.36
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AFC WimbledonGoalJayden StockleyAssist: James Tilley
  2. Burton AlbionGoalGeorge Evans
  3. AFC WimbledonGoalAlistair Smith
  4. AFC WimbledonYellow cardAndy Yiadom
  5. Burton AlbionGoalCaylan VickersAssist: Sulyman Krubally
  6. Burton AlbionSubstitutionOn: Emeka AdeileOff: Caylan Vickers
  7. Burton AlbionYellow cardJack Armer

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Burton Albion's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against AFC Wimbledon. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Burton Albion FC
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1
Burton Albion FC

FAQ

What was the result of Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 4:1 AFC Wimbledon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Burton Albion won 2, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

Burton Albion score 1.33 goals per game on average and AFC Wimbledon 0.33. The EFL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Burton Albion's matches and 0% of AFC Wimbledon's.

What form are Burton Albion and AFC Wimbledon in?

Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and AFC Wimbledon 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.