Burton Albion vs Exeter City: match statistics
Burton Albion vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Burton Albion play Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Burton Albion: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Exeter City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Burton Albion scores 1.09 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Burton Albion 48%, Exeter City 43%. Over 2.5: Burton Albion 50%, Exeter City 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.22. Burton Albion: 11.5 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.5.
Match halves
Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61. Exeter City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Burton Albion: 46-60 (12 goals). Exeter City: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Burton Albion holds a clear advantage in the quality of chances created at home: home average xG is 1.46 versus Exeter’s 1.01 xG on the road, and Burton averages 12.14 shots per game (3.86 on target) compared to 8.55 (2.64 on target) for the visitors. Defensively the hosts also look stronger — they concede 1.23 goals at home on average and keep 32% clean sheets, while Exeter concedes 1.41 goals away and has only an 18% clean sheet rate; Exeter’s away goal difference is -10 versus Burton’s -1 in home matches. The last five games send mixed signals: Exeter scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, Burton only 3, yet both teams average 1.2 points per game over that period, indicating form inconsistency. Outcome stats emphasize the home edge — Burton win 41% of home matches, Exeter win only 18% of away fixtures, with both teams failing to score in 41% of their respective home/away games. Based on the xG advantage, higher shot volume and superior home defense, I forecast a Burton victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Burton Albion | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Burton Albion · 1.2 pts / match - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Exeter City scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Burton Albion
Over / Under — Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Burton Albion · 0.98 pts / match - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Burton Albion
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Burton Albion | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Burton Albion 0 - 1 - 0 Exeter City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Burton Albion vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Burton Albion 1:1 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Burton Albion vs Exeter City?
Burton Albion score 1.09 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.13. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Burton Albion's matches and 43% of Exeter City's.
What form are Burton Albion and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Burton Albion have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Exeter City 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Burton Albion vs Exeter City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.