Exeter City vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Exeter City demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.38 goals per match at home while conceding just 1.13, and their 44% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Burton Albion struggles away with only an 18% win rate, a negative -10 record, and a high average of goals conceded (1.59 per match). Exeter also dominates in xG statistics (1.48 vs 1.25) and possession (55% vs 42%), indicating greater game control. Recent form for both teams is level, yet home advantage and significantly better home match statistics point towards a victory for the hosts.
Exeter City vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Exeter City played against Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Exeter City has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Burton Albion has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Exeter City scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.18. Burton Albion scores 1.12 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Exeter City's games and 44% of Burton Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 59%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.23 per game. Exeter City takes 10.6 shots per game, while Burton Albion takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Exeter City leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Burton Albion leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Exeter City's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Burton Albion, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.38 goals per match at home while conceding just 1.13, and their 44% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Burton Albion struggles away with only an 18% win rate, a negative -10 record, and a high average of goals conceded (1.59 per match). Exeter also dominates in xG statistics (1.48 vs 1.25) and possession (55% vs 42%), indicating greater game control. Recent form for both teams is level, yet home advantage and significantly better home match statistics point towards a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Burton Albion is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Exeter City · 1.6 pts / game - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Exeter City · 1.44 goals / game - Burton Albion
Exeter City scores in 67% of games (22 of 33 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 meczów).
Burton Albion scores in 62% of games (21 of 34 meczów), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Exeter City · 1.18 pts / game - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Exeter City
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.63 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 1:1 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
Exeter City score 1.15 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.12. The EFL League One average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Exeter City's matches and 44% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Exeter City and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Burton Albion 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.