South Korea - K League 2Busan Gudeok StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen: match statistics

Busan I'Park crest
Busan I'Park
4 : 1half-time 1:0
Paju Citizen crest
Paju Citizen

Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Busan I'Park play Paju Citizen in K League 2 (South Korea). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 09:30. Venue: Busan Gudeok Stadium. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Busan I'Park: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paju Citizen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Busan I'Park scores 2.06 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Paju Citizen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Busan I'Park 71%, Paju Citizen 47%. Over 2.5: Busan I'Park 65%, Paju Citizen 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Busan I'Park has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.24. Busan I'Park: 13.0 shots per match, Paju Citizen: 9.8.

Match halves

Busan I'Park: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.12. Paju Citizen: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41.

Goals by minute

Busan I'Park: 76-90+ (12 goals). Paju Citizen: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 2: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Busan I'Park are the favorites: at home they score on average 1.8 goals and concede only 0.6 goals per match, with 4.2 shots on target on average and a conversion rate of 16%, and in home games they have an 80% win rate and 0% of matches without scoring. Paju Citizen away scores on average 1.2 goals and concedes 1.2 goals, has 4.0 shots on target and a lower conversion of 12%, with 20% of matches without a goal, indicating lower offensive efficiency. Pay attention to xG: Busan generates 1.25 xG at home versus 1.33 xG for the visitors away, but Paju allows on average 1.58 xG on the road, while Busan concedes 1.22 xG at home, which means the visitors create chances but are also more exposed defensively. Form is also on the hosts’ side — in the last 5 home matches they have a sequence 'dwwww' (4 wins, 1 draw) and 1.8 points per match in that run, while Paju averages 1.0 point in their last 5 matches ('wlddl'). On that basis I predict a Busan win, mainly due to superior defense (0.6 vs 1.2 goals conceded) and higher offensive efficiency (16% vs 12%).

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
18Shots17
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
9Shots on target5
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
2.13xG2.16
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
8Corners6
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
52Dangerous attacks104
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
8Fouls4
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1Cards1
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
2.06Goals scored / match1
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.24Goals conceded / match1.29
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
47%Average possession43%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
4.76Shots on target / match3.24
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match9.76
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
4.76Shots on target3.24
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
15.8%Shot conversion10.2%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
47%Possession43%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.52xG for1.24
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.56xG against1.59
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Shooting quality

Busan I'Park: Counter-attackingPaju Citizen: Balanced
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Busan I'Park is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 0.8 pts / match - Paju Citizen

Busan I'Park
WDDWL
Season result split
65% W18% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-3-3
2.12 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Paju Citizen
LLLWD
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Busan I'Park is 106% better for: goals scored per match.

2.06 goals / match - Busan I'Park · 1 goals / match - Paju Citizen

Busan I'Park scoring profile: very strong

Busan I'Park scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

Paju Citizen scoring profile: strong

Paju Citizen scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Busan I'Park keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

35Goals scored (season)17
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
21Goals conceded (season)22
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
3.29Average goals in match2.29
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
11Goals scored (last 5)3
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal59%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
76%2 goals35%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
29%3 goals6%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
6%4 goals0%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal71%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
29%2 goals29%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
18%3 goals24%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0%4 goals6%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time29%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
29%Scored in both halves24%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
60%BTTS - last 540%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Busan I'Park is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Busan I'Park · 1.47 pts / match - Paju Citizen

Busan I'Park - half-time state
53% leading24% draw24% trailing
Paju Citizen - half-time state
29% leading59% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.47
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.59Average goals (1st half)1
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
53%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
29%No goal before half-time53%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)0.88
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.12Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
47%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen
47%No goal after half-time65%
Busan I'ParkPaju Citizen

Busan I'Park - second-half results

41% W47% R12% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paju Citizen - second-half results

18% W35% R47% P
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Busan I'Park - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paju Citizen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Busan I'Park
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
9
6
31-45
1
3
46-60
6
2
61-75
12
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Paju Citizen
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Busan I'Park

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
147%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Paju Citizen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).

Teams vs league

Busan I'ParkLigaPaju Citizen
Average goals in match 3.292.75 2.29
Both teams scored 71%61% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%56% 47%
Clean sheets 24%24% 29%
Goal before half-time 94%73% 53%
Goal after half-time 65%76% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.35
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen?

The K League 2 match finished Busan I'Park 4:1 Paju Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen?

Busan I'Park score 2.06 goals per game on average and Paju Citizen 1.00. The K League 2 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Busan I'Park's matches and 47% of Paju Citizen's.

What form are Busan I'Park and Paju Citizen in?

Over the last 5 games Busan I'Park have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paju Citizen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Busan I'Park vs Paju Citizen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.