Busko-Zdrój vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: match statistics

Wiślanie Jaśkowice are showing clearly better form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2 points per game during that period, while Busko-Zdrój have recorded just 1 win and averaged 0.8 points per match. The hosts have conceded as many as 12 goals in their last five games, while allowing an average of 2.5 goals at home, creating favorable conditions for the visitors to exploit their attacking potential. Wiślanie have won all 3 of their away matches so far, scoring an average of 1.67 goals and conceding just 0.33 per game. In addition, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away fixtures, whereas Busko-Zdrój have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match. The defensive disparity, a run of three consecutive away wins, and a season record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss all point towards a Wiślanie victory.

BTTS - No is the stronger scenario, as both teams have a seasonal rate of matches with goals scored by both sides of just 33%, well below the league average of 52%. Wiślanie Jaśkowice are particularly solid defensively: they concede an average of only 0.33 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 67% of their games, while Busko-Zdrój have failed to score in 33% of their appearances. The hosts do average 6 shots on target and generate xG of 1.65, but their current production of quality chances has dropped to xG 0.76 over the last 5 matches. During this period, the Jaśkowice side have limited opponents to just xG 0.62 and conceded 4 goals in 5 games, strengthening the case that the hosts may fail to score. The visitors should have chances against a Busko-Zdrój team that has recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals, but a result featuring goals from only one side is more likely than both teams scoring.

The match profile points to a moderate number of goals: both teams finished below 2.5 goals in 67% of their league matches so far. Wiślanie are particularly effective at limiting opponents away from home, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of matches. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.65 xG at home, while the visitors’ defense allows an average of 1.29 xG, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. On the other hand, Busko-Zdrój have conceded 2.4 goals per match in their last five games, so the possibility of an away goal should not be ruled out. However, the Under 3.5 goals line has a clear advantage, as Wiślanie have not played a single match with at least four goals this season, and the combined projection stands at 2.35 goals.

Wiślanie Jaśkowice have been clearly more effective in terms of results: they have won 100% of their matches so far and average 3.0 points per game, while Busko-Zdrój win only 33% of their fixtures. The visitors have made particularly strong starts in away matches, leading at the break in 2 of 2 appearances and averaging 1.5 goals scored before half-time; the hosts lost at half-time in both of their home matches and failed to score before the interval. Wiślanie’s defense concedes just 0.33 goals per match on average and has kept a clean sheet in 67% of games, limiting the hosts’ chances of completing a turnaround if they fall behind. Busko-Zdrój do create more chances, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with their opponents’ 1.03, but they have recently conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match, while Wiślanie have lost only 20% of their last five games. The strongest scenario is therefore an HT/FT 2/2 outcome, with the visitors leading at the break and maintaining their victory until full-time.