CA La Paz vs Venados: match statistics
CA La Paz vs Venados: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
CA La Paz played against Venados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
CA La Paz has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Venados has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
CA La Paz scores 2.30 goals per game and allows 1.10. Venados scores 2.40 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.16 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's games and 80% of Venados's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 90%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Venados has the higher season xG average, 1.94 to 1.69 per game. CA La Paz takes 15.2 shots per game, while Venados takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
CA La Paz leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Venados leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
CA La Paz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Venados, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.16 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CA La Paz have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten, while Venados have suffered 3 defeats over the same period. The strongest case for the hosts is their home record: 3 wins in 5 matches and an average of 0.6 goals conceded, compared with Venados’ 4 defeats in 5 away games and an average of 3 goals conceded. At home, the hosts average 14.8 shots per match, versus 10.4 shots for the visitors on the road, while their average xG stands at 1.61 against 1.75 xG allowed by the Venados defense. The visitors can still pose a threat, averaging 1.4 goals away from home and scoring in all 5 of those matches. Even so, their defensive struggles on the road and CA La Paz’s more consistent form point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of CA La Paz’s home matches and 100% of Venados’ away games, while the figure was 80% for each team across their last 5 matches. The hosts score an average of 3.4 goals at home and record 9.6 shots on target, while Venados concede an average of 3.0 goals away from home, making a CA La Paz goal highly likely. The visitors also have attacking credentials: they score an average of 1.4 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.41, while the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal. The main risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is CA La Paz’s 40% home clean-sheet rate; however, Venados have failed to score in none of their included away matches. Therefore, I consider both teams to score clearly the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CA La Paz average 3.4 goals scored at home, while Venados concede 3.0 on the road, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. Their average xG figures support this: 2.37 for CA La Paz and 1.75 chances conceded by Venados. The visitors can also get on the scoresheet, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.41. At least 2 goals have been scored in 100% of the teams’ matches to date, and Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of their last five matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, although an expected total of 4.4 goals also gives higher goal lines a solid basis.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is CA La Paz leading at the break and winning at full time: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Venados were trailing at the break in 4 of their 5 away games. In first halves, CA La Paz average 1.0 goals at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.6 goals away. The hosts’ advantage continues after the break, when they score an average of 2.4 goals, while Venados concede 1.4. CA La Paz have won all 5 analyzed home matches, whereas Venados have lost 4 of their 5 away games. The difference in attacking strength is reflected in the average xG figures of 2.37 versus 1.41 and 9.6 versus 4.6 shots on target per match, making the 1/1 HT/FT outcome a clear favorite over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| CA La Paz | Venados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CA La Paz is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.2 pts / game - Venados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CA La Paz is 82% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - CA La Paz · 2 goals / game - Venados
CA La Paz scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
Venados scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CA La Paz
Over / Under - Venados
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CA La Paz is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / game - CA La Paz · 1.2 pts / game - Venados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CA La Paz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Venados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
CA La Paz
Venados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| CA La Paz | Liga | Venados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.40 | 3.16 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from CA La Paz's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Venados. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of CA La Paz vs Venados?
The Ascenso MX match finished CA La Paz 1:2 Venados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CA La Paz and Venados?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CA La Paz won 1, Venados won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CA La Paz vs Venados?
CA La Paz score 2.30 goals per game on average and Venados 2.40. The Ascenso MX average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of CA La Paz's matches and 80% of Venados's.
What form are CA La Paz and Venados in?
Over the last 5 games CA La Paz have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Venados 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CA La Paz vs Venados?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.