Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
Caernarfon Town demonstrates a solid offense at their home stadium, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per home match with 46 goals in the season, surpassing Colwyn Bay's capabilities in away games (average 1 goal per match). The hosts hold the advantage in possession (55% vs 45%) and shot efficiency (14% vs 9%), indicating better game control at home. Colwyn Bay is characterized by a high percentage of matches without scoring on the road (42% FTS), which may limit their offensive potential. Despite the weaker form of both teams in the last five encounters, the identical goal difference (+3) and higher xG metrics for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.4) speak for their slight advantage. Given the competitive nature of the league and similar win percentages for both teams in their respective conditions (33% for hosts, 42% for visitors away), I expect a close match with a slight edge for Caernarfon Town.
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Caernarfon Town played against Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Caernarfon Town has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Colwyn Bay has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Caernarfon Town scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 1.42. Colwyn Bay scores 1.35 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Caernarfon Town's games and 50% of Colwyn Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 42%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.46 per game. Caernarfon Town takes 12.4 shots per game, while Colwyn Bay takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Caernarfon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Colwyn Bay, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town demonstrates a solid offense at their home stadium, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per home match with 46 goals in the season, surpassing Colwyn Bay's capabilities in away games (average 1 goal per match). The hosts hold the advantage in possession (55% vs 45%) and shot efficiency (14% vs 9%), indicating better game control at home. Colwyn Bay is characterized by a high percentage of matches without scoring on the road (42% FTS), which may limit their offensive potential. Despite the weaker form of both teams in the last five encounters, the identical goal difference (+3) and higher xG metrics for the hosts (1.62 vs 1.4) speak for their slight advantage. Given the competitive nature of the league and similar win percentages for both teams in their respective conditions (33% for hosts, 42% for visitors away), I expect a close match with a slight edge for Caernarfon Town.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Caernarfon Town | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Colwyn Bay is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.77 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.35 goals / game - Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.15 goals / game - Colwyn Bay
Caernarfon Town scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
Colwyn Bay scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Caernarfon Town · 1.42 pts / game - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Caernarfon Town | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.19 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Caernarfon Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Colwyn Bay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Caernarfon Town 3:0 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Caernarfon Town won 0, Colwyn Bay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town score 1.77 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.35. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Caernarfon Town's matches and 50% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Caernarfon Town have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.