Cagliari vs AC Milan: match statistics
AC Milan boasts significantly superior form and quality in this matchup. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the standings with an impressive record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 defeat, whereas Cagliari sits in 14th position with just 4 victories this season. A key advantage for Milan is their proficiency on the road – a 57% away win rate, 57% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), in stark contrast to Cagliari, who possess a negative goal difference (-2) and only a 25% win rate in home fixtures. Milan averages 1.71 goals scored away while conceding just 0.71, evidencing a solid defense and efficient attack. Cagliari struggles with clinicality (12% shot conversion) and stability, suffering defeat in 38% of their home games. Considering all metrics, AC Milan is the clear favorite for this encounter.
Cagliari vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Cagliari played against AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 2, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Cagliari has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. AC Milan has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Cagliari scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.41. AC Milan scores 1.69 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 2.34 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Cagliari's games and 50% of AC Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 56%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.08 per game. Cagliari takes 9.8 shots per game, while AC Milan takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Cagliari leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. AC Milan leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Cagliari's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For AC Milan, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.34 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AC Milan boasts significantly superior form and quality in this matchup. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the standings with an impressive record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 defeat, whereas Cagliari sits in 14th position with just 4 victories this season. A key advantage for Milan is their proficiency on the road – a 57% away win rate, 57% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+7), in stark contrast to Cagliari, who possess a negative goal difference (-2) and only a 25% win rate in home fixtures. Milan averages 1.71 goals scored away while conceding just 0.71, evidencing a solid defense and efficient attack. Cagliari struggles with clinicality (12% shot conversion) and stability, suffering defeat in 38% of their home games. Considering all metrics, AC Milan is the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Cagliari | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AC Milan is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Cagliari · 2.6 pts / game - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 51% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Cagliari · 1.69 goals / game - AC Milan
AC Milan is 74% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Cagliari · 0.81 goals / game - AC Milan
Cagliari scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
AC Milan scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while Cagliari keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cagliari
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 92% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / game - Cagliari · 1.69 pts / game - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cagliari - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Cagliari
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cagliari | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.53 | 2.34 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 63% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Cagliari vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Cagliari 0:1 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cagliari vs AC Milan?
Cagliari score 1.12 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.69. The Serie A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Cagliari's matches and 50% of AC Milan's.
What form are Cagliari and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Cagliari have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AC Milan 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cagliari vs AC Milan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.