Italy - Serie BData current as of October 08, 2026

Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Calcio Padova vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Calcio Padova plays Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 11, 2026.

Recent form

Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Carrarese has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Calcio Padova scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.20. Carrarese scores 0.40 and allows 1.20. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Calcio Padova's games and 40% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 20%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Calcio Padova has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.20 per game. Calcio Padova takes 12.2 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Calcio Padova's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.02)
(3.42)
(3.54)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1Goals scored / game0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.2Goals allowed / game1.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
42%Average possession39%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
4Shots on target / game3.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.2Shots per game12.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
4Shots on target3.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
8.2%Shot conversion3.3%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
42%Possession39%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.29xG for1.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.77xG against1.66
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedCarrarese: Balanced
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)33%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Calcio Padova is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 0.2 pts / game - Carrarese

Calcio Padova
WDLWL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrarese
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W20% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Calcio Padova is 150% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 0.4 goals / game - Carrarese

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

Carrarese scoring profile: mixed

Carrarese scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

5Goals scored (season)2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
6Goals conceded (season)6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
2.2Average goals per game1.6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal40%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%2 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%3 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%2 goals20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
20%3 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Scored in both halves0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%BTTS - last 540%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time20%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Calcio Padova is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 0.8 pts / game - Carrarese

Calcio Padova - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)0.8
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.2
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%No goal before half-time100%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
1Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
40%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese
60%No goal after half-time60%
Calcio PadovaCarrarese

Calcio Padova - second-half results

40% W0% D60% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Carrarese - second-half results

0% W40% D60% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Calcio Padova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrarese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.40
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.21.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
72%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-74%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaCarrarese
Average goals per game▼ 2.202.64▼ 1.60
Both teams scored▼ 60%64%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%54%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 40%19%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%64%▼ 20%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Calcio Padova's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Calcio Padova
1 : 0
Carrarese
Carrarese
0 : 0
Calcio Padova

FAQ

When do Calcio Padova and Carrarese play?

Calcio Padova face Carrarese on October 11, 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Calcio Padova and Carrarese?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Calcio Padova won 1, Carrarese won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?

Calcio Padova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Carrarese 0.40. The Serie B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Calcio Padova's matches and 40% of Carrarese's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrarese 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Calcio Padova vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.