Italy - Serie BData current as of September 12, 2026

Calcio Padova vs Palermo: match statistics

Calcio Padova crest
Calcio Padova
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Palermo crest
Palermo
125%(4.40)
X30%(3.50)
245%(1.75)

Palermo is showing significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 4th place in the table with a record of 16 wins compared to just 8 wins for Calcio Padova, who sits in 12th position. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts concede more than they score at home (-3). The form from the last five matches also favors Palermo (1.4 PPG) compared to Padova's poor form (0.8 PPG and a streak of three consecutive defeats). xG statistics show the visitors' advantage both in offense (1.45 vs 1.31) and defense (1.36 vs 1.74). Palermo also has better shooting efficiency away from home and keeps clean sheets more often (27% vs 13%), which makes them the favorite for this match.

Calcio Padova vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Calcio Padova played against Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Calcio Padova has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Palermo has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Calcio Padova scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.35. Palermo scores 1.65 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 58% of Calcio Padova's games and 42% of Palermo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.18 per game. Calcio Padova takes 10.8 shots per game, while Palermo takes 14.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Palermo leads at halftime in 52% and scores 0.94 after halftime.

When the teams score

Calcio Padova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Palermo, it is minutes 46-60 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Palermo is showing significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 4th place in the table with a record of 16 wins compared to just 8 wins for Calcio Padova, who sits in 12th position. The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts concede more than they score at home (-3). The form from the last five matches also favors Palermo (1.4 PPG) compared to Padova's poor form (0.8 PPG and a streak of three consecutive defeats). xG statistics show the visitors' advantage both in offense (1.45 vs 1.31) and defense (1.36 vs 1.74). Palermo also has better shooting efficiency away from home and keeps clean sheets more often (27% vs 13%), which makes them the favorite for this match.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

66Possession (%)34
Calcio PadovaPalermo
14Shots11
Calcio PadovaPalermo
2Shots on target1
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.53xG1.15
Calcio PadovaPalermo
9Corners4
Calcio PadovaPalermo
70Dangerous attacks53
Calcio PadovaPalermo
10Fouls12
Calcio PadovaPalermo
3Cards3
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.03Goals scored / game1.65
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.35Goals allowed / game0.87
Calcio PadovaPalermo
48%Average possession49%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
3.71Shots on target / game4.52
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.77Shots per game14.35
Calcio PadovaPalermo
3.71Shots on target4.52
Calcio PadovaPalermo
9.6%Shot conversion11.5%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
48%Possession49%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.18xG for1.57
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.74xG against1.32
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Shooting quality

Calcio Padova: BalancedPalermo: Attacking
Calcio PadovaPalermo
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palermo is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 1.4 pts / game - Palermo

Calcio Padova
WDLLL
Season result split
26% W32% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-13
1.10 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Palermo
LWWLD
Season result split
52% W32% D16% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-10-5
1.87 pts / game · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.03 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 1.65 goals / game - Palermo

Palermo is 55% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Calcio Padova · 0.87 goals / game - Palermo

Calcio Padova scoring profile: strong

Calcio Padova scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 meczów).

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)51
Calcio PadovaPalermo
42Goals conceded (season)27
Calcio PadovaPalermo
2.39Average goals per game2.52
Calcio PadovaPalermo
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Calcio PadovaPalermo
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
Calcio PadovaPalermo

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal77%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
26%2 goals48%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
3%3 goals26%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0%4 goals6%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal55%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
39%2 goals23%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
16%3 goals10%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0%4 goals0%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time3%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
6%BTTS in both halves3%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
13%Scored in both halves32%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS23%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
80%BTTS - last 560%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.87 pts / game - Calcio Padova · 1.77 pts / game - Palermo

Calcio Padova - half-time state
16% leading39% draw45% trailing
Palermo - half-time state
52% leading23% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.87Points per game (1st half)1.77
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.13Average goals (1st half)1
Calcio PadovaPalermo
39%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
65%No goal before half-time45%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per game (2nd half)1.55
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.94
Calcio PadovaPalermo
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Calcio PadovaPalermo
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.52
Calcio PadovaPalermo
48%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Calcio PadovaPalermo
48%No goal after half-time45%
Calcio PadovaPalermo

Calcio Padova - second-half results

26% W42% D32% L
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Palermo - second-half results

39% W39% D23% L
55
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Calcio Padova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Palermo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
5
7
16-30
3
14
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
7
61-75
10
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
7
1
16-30
9
6
31-45
12
4
46-60
6
7
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Calcio PadovaLigaPalermo
Average goals per game 2.392.54 2.52
Both teams scored 58%55% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%50% 52%
Clean sheets 19%27% 45%
Goal before half-time 77%72% 81%
Goal after half-time 74%76% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Patryk PedaOff: Antonio Palumbo
  2. PalermoYellow cardPietro Ceccaroni
  3. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Giangiacomo MagnaniOff: Pietro Ceccaroni
  4. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Alejandro Darío GómezOff: Pietro Fusi
  5. Calcio PadovaYellow cardFrancesco Di Mariano
  6. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Gianluca CaprariOff: Mattia Bortolussi
  7. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Giulio FavaleOff: Paolo Ghiglione
  8. PalermoSubstitutionOn: Aljosa VasicOff: Dennis Tørset Johnsen
  9. Calcio PadovaSubstitutionOn: Cristian BuonaiutoOff: Francesco Belli
  10. Calcio PadovaYellow cardChristian Diego Pastina
  11. PalermoGoalMattia BaniAssist: Patryk Peda
  12. Calcio PadovaYellow cardChristian Diego Pastina

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Livio MarinelliMatches officiated: 11
4.45Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 227%Home wins27%Draws45%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Calcio Padova's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Palermo. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Calcio Padova vs Palermo?

The Serie B match finished Calcio Padova 0:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Calcio Padova vs Palermo?

Calcio Padova score 1.03 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.65. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Calcio Padova's matches and 42% of Palermo's.

What form are Calcio Padova and Palermo in?

Over the last 5 games Calcio Padova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palermo 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calcio Padova vs Palermo?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calcio Padova vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.