Calvary vs Police Uganda: match statistics
Calvary vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Calvary play Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Police Uganda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Calvary 21%, Police Uganda 63%. Over 2.5: Calvary 17%, Police Uganda 53%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.18. Calvary: 3.6 shots per match, Police Uganda: 10.5.
Match halves
Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21. Police Uganda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). Police Uganda: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Police Uganda). Police Uganda have 13 wins and 39 goals this season versus just 2 wins and 10 goals for Calvary, and in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 8 goals with a 3-0-2 record and an average of 1.8 points per game, while the hosts scored 3 goals and average 1.6 points per game. Calvary score only 0.5 goals per game at home and fail to score in 67% of matches, whereas Police as visitors average 1.38 goals and fail to score in only 8% of away games, which clearly indicates the visitors’ efficiency advantage. Promising for the hosts is that they concede only 0.75 goals at home and keep 50% clean sheets, however their home xG averages 1.91 with xG against 1.66 — they create chances (16 shots and 4 on target on average) but convert poorly (0.5 goals per game). Considering Police’s superior season record (13 wins vs 2) and stronger away efficiency, I assign a 60% probability to a Police Uganda win, 25% to a draw and 15% to a Calvary win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Calvary | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.61 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calvary is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Calvary · 1 pts / match - Police Uganda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police Uganda is 192% better for: goals scored per match.
0.48 goals / match - Calvary · 1.4 goals / match - Police Uganda
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Police Uganda scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Calvary
Over / Under — Police Uganda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police Uganda is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Calvary · 1.27 pts / match - Police Uganda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Calvary
Police Uganda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Calvary | Liga | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.72 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 21% | 38% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 62% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Calvary 0 - 0 - 1 Police Uganda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Calvary vs Police Uganda?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Calvary 1:0 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Calvary vs Police Uganda?
Calvary score 0.48 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Calvary's matches and 63% of Police Uganda's.
What form are Calvary and Police Uganda in?
Over the last 5 games Calvary have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Police Uganda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Calvary vs Police Uganda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Calvary vs Police Uganda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.